Match Info

OHL

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)


	Saginaw Spirit		Erie Otters

	1	X	2
	1.72	4.46	3.47
	1.7	4.6	3.55	Watch
	1.67	4.4	3.6
	1.68	4.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.7)	4.44 ↓ (4.6)	3.53 ↓ (3.55)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
53.7%

Draw
20.5%

Erie Otters
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

20%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

20.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Erie Otters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erie Otters than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)	60. Tegelaar N. (G)
14. Barabanov E. (A)	92. Agrette M.
72. Barnes B.	73. Ambrosio L.
42. Cloutier J.	17. Cabral L.
95. Geldart G.	27. Coombs R.
5. Glavin J. (A)	14. Cooper T.
73. Guo J.	7. D'Alessio M.
88. Hanrahan R.	25. Dec M. (A)
13. Harmer C. (A)	13. Edwards K.
4. Harper L.	23. Frasca N.
9. Jones G.	88. Gowan B.
98. Klepov N.	81. Headrick E.
62. Pepoy B.	34. Kamzik K.
11. Roscoe D.	96. Kuzma A.
90. Schmidt S.	89. Lombardi U.
27. Stewart B.	61. Plante L.
21. Storch L.	6. Saari J. (A)
17. Velliaris X.	26. Schouten J.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)	72. Smith C.
	10. Trevino T. (C)
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)	1. Erliden N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
11:56, 1 - 0, Roscoe D. (G), Storch L. (A),
15:03, 2 - 0, Barabanov E. (G), Klepov N. (A), Harper L. (A2)
19:01, 2 - 1, Cooper T. (G), Agrette M. (A), Dec M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:00, 3 - 1, Pepoy B. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
03:57, 4 - 1, Stewart B. (G), Harmer C. (A),

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.

Saginaw is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Erie's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Erie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Erie has had a series of home games.

In this match, Saginaw is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 86:84. (average 4.3:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 48:50. (average 4.4:4.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Saginaw Spirit - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.1%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
04.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	0:6 ✺
31.01.26	Saginaw Spirit - Barrie Colts	2:4 ✺
30.01.26	Sarnia Sting - Saginaw Spirit	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Ottawa 67s - Saginaw Spirit	6:0 ✺
23.01.26	Kingston Frontenacs - Saginaw Spirit	8:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Erie Otters
OHL
05.02.26	Erie Otters - Guelph Storm	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Erie Otters - London Knights	1:6 ✺
30.01.26	Erie Otters - Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds	3:2 penalties ✺
24.01.26	Erie Otters - Kitchener Rangers	3:4 OT ✺
23.01.26	Guelph Storm - Erie Otters	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
17.01.26	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	1:6
24.10.25	Saginaw Spirit - Erie Otters	5:3
05.04.25	Saginaw Spirit - Erie Otters	3:6
03.04.25	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	7:3
01.04.25	Erie Otters - Saginaw Spirit	2:3 OT
29.03.25	Saginaw Spirit - Erie Otters	5:9
27.03.25	Saginaw Spirit - Erie Otters	5:8

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