The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 24.8%
Draw 19%
Barrie Colts 56.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
20.6%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.3%
22%
49.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Barrie Colts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrie Colts than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barrie Colts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
14. Barabanov E. (A)
77. Aitcheson K. (A)
72. Barnes B.
23. Armstrong E.
42. Cloutier J.
29. Beaudoin C. (C)
95. Geldart G.
14. Crombie C.
5. Glavin J. (A)
37. Edgar E.
73. Guo J.
78. Eliasson G.
88. Hanrahan R.
41. Emerton C.
13. Harmer C. (A)
25. Gardiner B. (A)
4. Harper L.
16. Handsor J.
9. Jones G.
85. Lowe C.
98. Klepov N.
84. Newton J.
62. Pepoy B.
88. Passmore E. (A)
10. Rausa J.
15. Salandra J.
11. Roscoe D.
11. Schneid W.
90. Schmidt S.
47. Tsakumis N.
27. Stewart B.
6. Von Richter P.
21. Storch L.
53. Wilmott B.
17. Velliaris X.
19. Zebeski M.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)
1. Jaswal A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
01:05, 1 - 0, Zhilkin D. (G), Guo J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:38, 1 - 1, Beaudoin C. (G), Emerton C. (A), Aitcheson K. (A2)
11:21, 1 - 2, Hemming E. (G), Zebeski M. (A), Beaudoin C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:24, 1 - 3, Gardiner B. (G), Salandra J. (A), Von Richter P. (A2)
05:32, 1 - 4, Wilmott B. (G), Gardiner B. (A),
16:40, 2 - 4, Barabanov E. (G),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 4.
Saginaw has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Barrie is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Barrie may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Barrie is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 69:87. (average 3.5:4.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:42. (average 3.5:4.2).
Watch
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Shurygin S. (G) 
Hrebik B. (G) 
Barabanov E. (A) 
Eliasson G. 
Rausa J. 
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