Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Balashikha Arena (Balashikha)


	Vityaz Balashikha		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	3.49	4	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 (3.49)	4 (4)	2.02 (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vityaz Balashikha
27.8%

Draw
24.2%

Severstal Cherepovets
48%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

21.7%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Vityaz Balashikha have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Severstal Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vityaz Balashikha than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Severstal Cherepovets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
83. Dorozhko M. (G)	29. Samoilov A. (G)
79. Roy J. (A)	7. Burenov N.
53. Pedan R.	44. Barberio M. (A)
74. Makeyev A.	13. Pilipenko K.
23. Gauthier F.	53. Aimurzin D.
8. Zaseda M.	99. Ilyin M.
Line 2
18. Stewart D.	2. Grudinin V.
7. Busygin Y.	75. Davydov T.
82. Chekhovich I.	12. Skorenov A.
26. Barach D.	78. Kruchinin A.
72. Buchelnikov D.	97. Chebykin N.
Line 3
9. Valentsov V.	26. Yershov I.
2. Golovkov I. (A)	8. Kaldis Y.
27. Yezhov I.	23. Liska A. (C)
93. Arkalov I. (C)	17. Abrosimov R. (A)
13. Yarovoy S.	57. Kotlyarevsky M.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	16. Nikitin V.
21. Savchik I.	54. Churkin A.
87. Tsitsyura V.	88. Dumbadze D.
86. Vorobyov I.	66. Podshivalov I.
	33. Mukhanov T.
Substitutes
11. Ilyichyov M.	1. Shostak K. (G)
44. Shikin D. (G)
Coaches
. Desyatkov P.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:11, Stewart D. (2 min),
06:09, Valentsov V. (2 min),
10:43, 0 - 1, Kotlyarevsky M. (G), Kruchinin A. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
13:14, Dorozhko M. ↓, Shikin D. ↑,
16:26, Kruchinin A. (2 min),
17:03, Barach D. (2 min),
17:43, 1 - 1, Busygin Y. (G), Malorosiyanov D. (A), Vorobyov I. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:07, 1 - 2, Dumbadze D. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Mukhanov T. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 4.

Vityaz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Severstal is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Severstal will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Vityaz: Kalinin S. (Injury) Vashchenko G. (Injury)

There will not play in Severstal: Liska A. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vityaz won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 55:46 (average 2.8:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Vityaz won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 27:21 (average 2.5:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 47.99%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vityaz Balashikha
KHL
07.01.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
05.01.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Vityaz Balashikha	5:2 ✺
03.01.25	Kunlun - Vityaz Balashikha	3:2 OT ✺
29.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Spartak Moscow	2:4 ✺
27.12.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
08.01.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Avangard Omsk	5:6 penalties ✺
06.01.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Spartak Moscow	5:3 ✺
03.01.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dynamo Moscow	2:7 ✺
30.12.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
28.12.24	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	1:7
12.11.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0
08.02.24	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT
05.01.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	4:3
19.11.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	3:5
18.11.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	6:2
10.11.23	Vityaz Balashikha - Severstal Cherepovets	5:3

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