Match Info

NMHL

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Samara		Progress Glazov

	1	X	2
	2.19	4.15	2.44
	2.16	4.61	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	4.38 ↓ (5.5)	2.44 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
41.9%

Draw
20.8%

Progress Glazov
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

16.8%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

16.4%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Progress Glazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Samara - Progress Glazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
15:17, 1 - 0, Semenyukov D. (G), Zhomov A. (A),
19:32, 2 - 0, Bunakov N. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:54, 3 - 0, Ivanov Y. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Progress Glazov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Samara
RHL
20.11.25	Samara - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties ✺
07.11.25	Tambov - Samara	1:4 ✺
06.11.25	Tambov - Samara	5:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	0:1 OT ✺
02.11.25	Lipetsk - Samara	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWW
- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
20.11.25	Samara - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties ✺
17.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov	7:8 OT ✺
16.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov	4:3 ✺
14.11.25	Dizelist Penza - Progress Glazov	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Dizelist Penza - Progress Glazov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
20.11.25	Samara - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties

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