Match Info

AHL

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Pechanga Arena (San Diego, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	San Diego Gulls		Texas Stars

	1	X	2
	2.38	4.2	2.2	Watch
	2.36	4.35	2.36
	2.37	4.22	2.34
	2.38	4.37	2.38	Watch
	2.3	4.2	2.38
	2.28	4.05	2.43	Watch
	2.3	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.41)	4.2 ↑ (4.07)	2.35 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego Gulls
39.2%

Draw
21.8%

Texas Stars
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

22.8%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

22.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego Gulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Texas Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Gulls than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Texas Stars than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Texas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Texas (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Clang C. (G)	1. Poirier R. (G)
12. Bailey J.	27. Becker J.
15. Brouillard N.	5. Bergsland T.
25. Burke C.	3. Bertucci T.
22. Carpenter R. (C)	21. Chisholm S.
28. Caulfield J.	32. Hanas C.
29. Colangelo S.	19. Hughes C. (A)
17. Gaucher N.	12. Hyry A.
5. Hinds T.	26. Karow M.
6. Luneau T.	17. Lind K. (A)
37. McKeown R. (A)	37. Looft K.
21. Myatovic N.	16. McKenzie C. (C)
11. Mysak J.	11. Scott H.
16. Pastujov S.	13. Seminoff M.
18. Phillips M. (A)	38. Shlaine A.
19. Sidorov Y.	40. Stranges A.
7. Solberg S.	2. Taylor T.
2. Warren N.	34. Tuomaala S.
10. Washe T.	8. White G.
Substitutes
30. Suchanek T. (G)	30. Tiefensee A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
14:16, 1 - 0, Mysak J. (G), Bailey J. (A), Pastujov S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
06:41, 2 - 0, Washe T. (G), Bailey J. (A), Sidorov Y. (A2)
12:23, 3 - 0, Pastujov S. (G), Gaucher N. (A),
15:32, 4 - 0, Washe T. (G),
16:11, 4 - 1, Looft K. (G), Scott H. (A),
18:20, 5 - 1, Myatovic N. (G), Phillips M. (A),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 0.

San Diego has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Texas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Texas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Texas has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 72:58. (average 3.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:33. (average 3.8:3).

Last Results with these Odds

San Diego Gulls - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego Gulls
AHL
05.12.25	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:3 OT ✺
28.11.25	San Diego Gulls - Coachella Valley Firebirds	0:5 ✺
26.11.25	Tucson Roadrunners - San Diego Gulls	3:5 ✺
22.11.25	San Diego Gulls - Calgary Wranglers	2:3 ✺
21.11.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - San Diego Gulls	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL
- Texas Stars
AHL
05.12.25	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:3 OT ✺
03.12.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:2 penalties ✺
30.11.25	Ontario Reign - Texas Stars	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Coachella Valley Firebirds - Texas Stars	3:5 ✺
26.11.25	Texas Stars - Grand Rapids Griffins	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
05.12.25	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:3 OT
22.03.24	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:4
28.02.24	Texas Stars - San Diego Gulls	4:3
27.02.24	Texas Stars - San Diego Gulls	3:1
29.11.23	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	5:6 OT
26.01.19	Texas Stars - San Diego Gulls	1:4
16.01.19	San Diego Gulls - Texas Stars	2:1

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