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Current Win Probability
San Jose Sharks 24.4%
Draw 21.1%
Tampa Bay Lightning 54.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.5%
21.2%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.3%
21%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Jose Sharks's form might have worsened.
Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
33.3%
44.4%
San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Askarov Y. (G)
88. Vasilevski A. (G)
37. Liljegren T.
43. Raddysh D.
9. Orlov D.
90. Moser J.J.
92. Chernyshov I.
86. Kucherov N. (A)
71. Celebrini M.
21. Point B.
72. Eklund W.
93. Goncalves G.
Line 2
22. Iorio V.
81. Cernak E.
6. Dickinson S.
51. D'Astous C.
73. Toffoli T. (A)
59. Guentzel J. (A)
21. Wennberg A.
71. Cirelli A. (A)
51. Graf C.
38. Hagel B.
Line 3
5. Desharnais V.
24. Crozier M.
4. Leddy N.
67. Carlile D.
53. Skinner J.
28. Girgensons Z.
10. Dellandrea T.
37. Gourde Y.
84. Regenda P.
29. Holmberg P.
Line 4
75. Reaves R.
22. Bjorkstrand O.
63. Ostapchuk Z.
17. James D.
23. Goodrow B. (A)
20. Paul N.
Substitutes
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. Warsofsky R.
. Cooper J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 3)
02:37, 0 - 1, Point B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
04:08, 0 - 2, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Goncalves G. (A2)
06:46, 0 - 3, Hagel B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
06:46, Askarov Y. ↓, Nedeljkovic A. ↑,
09:14, Cernak E. (2 min),
10:50, 1 - 3, Regenda P. (G), Liljegren T. (A), Celebrini M. (A2)
19:03, Moser J.J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 4)
01:21, Regenda P. (2 min),
02:49, 1 - 4, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
03:55, 1 - 5, James D. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A),
09:50, 2 - 5, Regenda P. (G), Liljegren T. (A), Skinner J. (A2)
13:07, Eklund W. (2 min),
13:07, Moser J.J. (2 min),
14:08, 2 - 6, Kucherov N. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Point B. (A2)
15:39, Reaves R. (2 min),
15:39, Ostapchuk Z. (2 min),
15:39, Moser J.J. (2 min),
15:39, Hagel B. (2 min),
15:39, Goodrow B. (10 min),
15:39, Guentzel J. (2 min),
16:53, 2 - 7, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Paul N. (A2)
19:03, Goncalves G. (2 min),
19:23, Orlov D. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
06:13, Orlov D. (2 min),
09:00, Gourde Y. (2 min),
12:08, Dickinson S. (2 min),
16:11, 3 - 7, Regenda P. (G), Skinner J. (A),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
Recent performances by San Jose have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
San Jose may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Desharnais V.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Ellis R.
(Back Injury)
Gaudette A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Liljegren T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Misa M.
(International duty)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
Smith W.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
There are questionable in San Jose: Kurashev P.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 42:78. (average 2.1:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:36. (average 2:3.6).
Outrights of NHL for now
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6.22% San Jose Sharks: 1.96%
Last Results with these Odds
Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 49.26%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Askarov Y. (G) 
Liljegren T. 
Raddysh D. 
Moser J.J. 
Cernak E. 
Guentzel J. (A) 
Girgensons Z. 
Bjorkstrand O. 
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