The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Jose Sharks 31.8%
Draw 22%
Washington Capitals 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.1%
21.6%
51.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
21.9%
50.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Washington Capitals might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
5%
75%
San Jose Sharks - Washington Capitals Predictions
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. San Jose will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Washington will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 56% – 94%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
EH +1 - San Jose (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. San Jose (votes: 2 - 25%). Washington (votes: 6 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Askarov Y. (G)
79. Lindgren C. (G)
37. Liljegren T.
74. Carlson J.
9. Orlov D.
42. Fehervary M.
2. Smith W.
72. Beauvillier A.
71. Celebrini M.
17. Strome D.
73. Toffoli T.
8. Ovechkin A.
Line 2
3. Klingberg J.
3. Roy M.
38. Ferraro M.
6. Chychrun J.
81. Gaudette A.
43. Wilson T.
21. Wennberg A.
34. Sourdif J.
72. Eklund W.
21. Protas A.
Line 3
22. Iorio V.
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
6. Dickinson S.
38. Sandin R.
51. Graf C.
9. Leonard R.
96. Kurashev P.
24. McMichael C.
53. Skinner J.
22. Duhaime B.
Line 4
84. Regenda P.
53. Frank E.
10. Dellandrea T.
29. Lapierre H.
23. Goodrow B.
15. Milano S.
Substitutes
33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
48. Thompson L. (G)
Coaches
. Warsofsky R.
. Carbery S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 4)
05:00, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
08:25, 0 - 1, Ovechkin A. (G), Roy M. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
10:05, 0 - 2, Milano S. (G), Chisholm D. (A), Van Riemsdyk T. (A2)
10:05, (2 min),
13:35, 0 - 3, Leonard R. (G), Van Riemsdyk T. (A), Duhaime B. (A2)
15:48, Beauvillier A. (2 min),
17:07, 0 - 4, Duhaime B. (G), Protas A. (A),
17:07, Askarov Y. ↓, Nedeljkovic A. ↑,
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:59, Ferraro M. (2 min),
02:41, 0 - 5, Ovechkin A. (G), Leonard R. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
19:34, 0 - 6, Strome D. (G), Roy M. (A), Leonard R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
01:03, 0 - 7, Leonard R. (G), Roy M. (A), Lindgren C. (A2)
04:05, Dowd N. (2 min),
11:36, Milano S. (2 min),
12:58, 1 - 7, Regenda P. (G), Orlov D. (A), Gaudette A. (A2)
12:58, (2 min),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 2.
In recent matches, San Jose has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Washington is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in San Jose: Couture L.
(Groin Injury)
Desharnais V.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Ellis R.
(Back Injury)
Misa M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Price C.
(Knee Injury)
Skinner J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
There are questionable in Washington: Dowd N.
(Upper-Body Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, San Jose won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:65. (average 3:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, San Jose won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 2.2:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
San Jose Sharks - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 27.12%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.