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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 46.3%
Draw 22.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs 31.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48%
21.7%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
21.2%
29.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
28.6%
21.4%
Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 23.8% – 76.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Washington Capitals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
35. Hildeby D. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)
95. Ekman-Larsson O.
42. Fehervary M.
44. Rielly M. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.
88. Nylander W.
17. Strome D.
34. Matthews A. (C)
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
23. Knies M.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
28. Stecher T.
6. Chychrun J.
22. McCabe J.
43. Wilson T. (A)
53. Cowan E.
34. Sourdif J.
91. Tavares J. (A)
21. Protas A.
89. Robertson N.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
3. Thrun H.
38. Sandin R.
2. Benoit S.
53. Frank E.
74. McMann B.
29. Lapierre H.
55. Roy N.
15. Milano S.
81. Joshua D.
Line 4
24. McMichael C.
11. Domi M.
26. Dowd N. (A)
24. Laughton S.
22. Duhaime B.
18. Lorentz S.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
60. Woll J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Berube C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:45, Protas A. (2 min),
04:04, Laughton S. (2 min),
06:23, McMann B. (2 min),
09:22, Fehervary M. (2 min),
13:53, 1 - 0, Protas A. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
16:16, 2 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Frank E. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
17:44, Sandin R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
11:42, Strome D. (2 min),
16:19, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
04:02, 3 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Carlson J. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
04:22, Protas A. (2 min),
08:57, 4 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
Washington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
Leonard R.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Rifai M.
(Wrist Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Toronto: Maccelli M.
(Illness)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:73. (average 3.1:3.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 3.3:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 48%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Toronto Maple Leafs - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 30.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Hildeby D. (G) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Fehervary M. 
Ovechkin A. (C) 
Protas A. 
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