Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Sarmaty Orenburzhya		Ladya Togliatti

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Sarmaty Orenburzhya
39.2%

Draw
22.5%

Ladya Togliatti
38.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.1%

20.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

21%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmaty Orenburzhya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmaty Orenburzhya than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmaty Orenburzhya won 3.

Sarmaty Orenburzhya has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ladya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 36 head-to-head matches Sarmaty Orenburzhya won 17 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 98-100.

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmaty Orenburzhya won 9 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 52-43.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmaty Orenburzhya
MHL
02.10.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	1:5 ✺
27.09.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Belye Medvedi	2:5 ✺
25.09.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Omskye Yastreby	3:5 ✺
18.09.22	Tolpar - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	5:2 ✺
15.09.22	Stalnye Lisy - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ladya Togliatti
MHL
02.10.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	1:5 ✺
27.09.22	Ladya Togliatti - Omskye Yastreby	2:5 ✺
25.09.22	Ladya Togliatti - Belye Medvedi	0:3 ✺
18.09.22	Stalnye Lisy - Ladya Togliatti	8:1 ✺
15.09.22	Tolpar - Ladya Togliatti	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

MHL
02.10.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	1:5
06.01.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	6:1
05.01.22	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	2:5
28.11.21	Ladya Togliatti - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	2:3 penalties
27.11.21	Ladya Togliatti - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
07.08.21	Ladya Togliatti - Sarmaty Orenburzhya	7:3
MHL
10.02.21	Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti	1:2

Sarmaty Orenburzhya - Ladya Togliatti