The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flint Firebirds 42.5%
Draw 22%
Kitchener Rangers 35.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
21.6%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
23.6%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flint Firebirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Kitchener Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flint Firebirds than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Flint Firebirds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitchener Rangers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitchener Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Flint Firebirds - Kitchener Rangers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Courville M. (G)
30. Hriczov M. (G)
22. Anderson D. (A)
9. Anstis A.
44. Beauchesne C.
11. Arquette C. (A)
2. Bogas N.
89. Bilecki A. (A)
27. Bonnyman J.
17. Cameron W.
54. Bray J.
13. Ellis H.
88. Cunningham R.
91. Forrest A.
65. Fellinger R. (A)
55. Kut T.
14. Graziano L.
93. LaBrash J.
21. Guizzetti C.
37. Lam T.
8. Klaucans M.
14. Lukes J.
10. Lombardi J. (C)
15. Massimi L.
4. Morgan B.
98. Puglisi C.
86. Murata C.
44. Roberson R.
79. Nutting L.
77. Robinson I.
7. Paul J.
86. Romano L. (A)
11. Smith B.
23. Santala L.
81. Tessier X.
21. Schneider K.
9. Williams C.
2. Toporowski D.
Substitutes
35. Edgcumbe L. (G)
39. Schaubel J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
16:29, 0 - 1, Santala L. (G), Lam T. (A), Romano L. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:54, 1 - 1, Bogas N. (G), Graziano L. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
13:25, 2 - 1, Klaucans M. (G), Bogas N. (A), Murata C. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
04:27, 3 - 1, Williams C. (G), Anderson D. (A), Lombardi J. (A2)
08:32, 3 - 2, Ellis H. (G), Lam T. (A),
11:32, 4 - 2, Cunningham R. (G), Bogas N. (A), Tessier X. (A2)
18:45, 5 - 2, Williams C. (G), Bogas N. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flint won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Flint could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flint has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:72 (averaging 2.8:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flint against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:28 goals (averaging 2.6:2.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Flint Firebirds - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.99%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Courville M. (G) 
Beauchesne C. 
Klaucans M. 
Santala L. 
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