Match Info

NHL

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Climate Pledge Arena (Seattle, WA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Seattle Kraken		Buffalo Sabres

	1	X	2
	2.8	4	2.2	Watch
	2.65	4.19	2.29
	2.73	4.24	2.29
	2.57	4.34	2.31	Watch
	2.75	4	2.25
	2.66	4.41	2.26
	2.7	4.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.38)	4.2 ↓ (4.47)	2.26 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seattle Kraken
35.3%

Draw
22.6%

Buffalo Sabres
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

22.4%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seattle Kraken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seattle Kraken's form might have worsened.

Buffalo Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seattle Kraken than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seattle Kraken, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Sabres than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Sabres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seattle will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Buffalo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seattle: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Seattle Kraken will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Daccord J. (G)	34. Lyon A. (G)
6. Larsson A.	26. Dahlin R. (C)
29. Dunn V.	23. Samuelsson M. (A)
7. Eberle J. (C)	91. Doan J.
10. Beniers M. (A)	72. Thompson T. (A)
20. Tolvanen E.	19. Krebs P.
Line 2
62. Montour B.	21. Timmins C.
55. Lindgren R.	4. Byram B.
89. Gaudreau F.	89. Tuch A.
9. Stephenson C.	9. Norris J.
27. Marchment M.	86. Ostlund N.
Line 3
28. Mahura J.	78. Bryson J.
24. Oleksiak J.	25. Power O.
84. Kakko K.	22. Quinn J.
51. Wright S.	71. McLeod R.
38. Nyman J.	6. Benson Z.
Line 4
26. Winterton R.	48. Kozak T.
59. Meyers B.	29. Malenstyn B.
12. Kartye T.	12. Greenway J.
Substitutes
31. Grubauer P. (G)	1. Luukkonen U. (G)
Coaches
. Lambert L.	. Ruff L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:08, Larsson A. (2 min),
17:09, 0 - 1, Ostlund N. (G), Norris J. (A), Tuch A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:41, Timmins C. (2 min),
10:08, 0 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Krebs P. (A), Tuch A. (A2)
12:18, Dahlin R. (2 min),
12:24, 1 - 2, Stephenson C. (G), Dunn V. (A), Eberle J. (A2)
13:44, Evans R. (2 min),
15:53, Doan J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:14, 1 - 3, Benson Z. (G), Quinn J. (A), McLeod R. (A2)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 4.

Recent form of Seattle has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Buffalo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Buffalo has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Seattle: Catton B. (Upper-Body Injury) Murray M. (Lower-Body Injury) Schwartz J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Buffalo: Danforth J. (Lower-Body Injury) Ellis C. (Concussion) Kesselring M. (Lower-Body Injury) Kulich J. (Health problems) Zucker J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Seattle: McCann J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Buffalo: Norris J. (Illness) Tuch A. (Illness)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:24. (average 5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:13. (average 4.5:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Seattle Kraken - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 40.79%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seattle Kraken
NHL
12.12.25	Utah Mammoth - Seattle Kraken	5:3 ✺
10.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Los Angeles Kings	3:2 OT ✺
08.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Minnesota Wild	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Seattle Kraken - Detroit Red Wings	3:4 ✺
04.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Seattle Kraken	9:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Buffalo Sabres
NHL
11.12.25	Vancouver Canucks - Buffalo Sabres	2:3 ✺
09.12.25	Edmonton Oilers - Buffalo Sabres	3:4 OT ✺
08.12.25	Calgary Flames - Buffalo Sabres	7:4 ✺
05.12.25	Winnipeg Jets - Buffalo Sabres	4:1 ✺
03.12.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Buffalo Sabres	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
20.01.25	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	6:4
11.01.25	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	2:6
18.03.24	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	2:6
09.01.24	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	2:5
10.01.23	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	3:4
25.10.22	Seattle Kraken - Buffalo Sabres	5:1
29.11.21	Buffalo Sabres - Seattle Kraken	4:7

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