Match Info

Extraleague

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Shakhtyor Soligorsk		Lokomotiv Orsha

	1	X	2
	1.78	4.23	3.7
	1.77	3.98	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.8)	4.11 ↓ (4.3)	3.68 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
52.2%

Draw
22.6%

Lokomotiv Orsha
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

21.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

21%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lokomotiv Orsha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Matskevich M. (G)	35. Shpilev A. (G)
43. Figurin A.	24. Savelyev A.
4. Lyubchich A.	4. Rogach D.
28. Buinitsky A.	18. Paranin I.
21. Nesterov G.	19. Belyayev K.
7. Lapin I.	8. Buiko V.
Line 2
45. Pozhigan O.	55. Burovtsev D.
15. Tsulygin K.	71. Buivan S.
17. Chukhraev A.	91. Rychkov I.
24. Petrov M.	13. Silchenko I.
11. Gumenyuk A.	28. Sapelnikov Y.
Line 3
8. Bogoslav S.	73. Yerokho V.
19. Mazur A.	21. Tolopilo M.
51. Zhuk Y.	16. Borozna T.
90. Sergeev A.	96. Ignatov K.
44. Grechny I.	63. Voronov Y.
Line 4
3. Sazanovich A.	23. Klyukvin K.
89. Lipsky D.	5. Raitsyn V.
87. Pyshkaylo F.	27. Gilmanov A.
9. Nozdrachev Y.	92. Matyushenko M.
	17. Apanasevich V.
Substitutes
29. Chentsov N. (G)	31. Karachun V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:58, 1 - 0, Petrov M. (G), Mazur A. (A), Bogoslav S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:46, 1 - 1, Sapelnikov Y. (G), Tolopilo M. (A),
11:28, 1 - 2, Borozna T. (G),
18:43, 2 - 2, Petrov M. (G), Sazanovich A. (A), Bogoslav S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:07, 3 - 2, Tsulygin K. (G), Chukhraev A. (A), Lapin I. (A2)
10:24, 4 - 2, Chukhraev A. (G), Petrov M. (A), Tsulygin K. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Lokomotiv Orsha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Shakhtyor Soligorsk is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 56:34. (average 2.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtyor Soligorsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Extraleague
18.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2 ✺
13.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:3 penalties ✺
11.09.25	Slavutych Smolensk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:3 ✺
08.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lida	2:3 penalties ✺
06.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lida	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLL
- Lokomotiv Orsha
Belarusian Extraleague
18.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2 ✺
14.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	3:2 ✺
12.09.25	Lokomotiv Orsha - Khimik-SKA Novopolotsk	0:3 ✺
07.09.25	Brest - Lokomotiv Orsha	1:3 ✺
05.09.25	Brest - Lokomotiv Orsha	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Extraleague
18.09.25	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:2
28.12.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:1
27.12.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:4 penalties
09.10.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	4:3 OT
07.10.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Lokomotiv Orsha	0:3
23.01.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:4
14.01.24	Lokomotiv Orsha - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:4 penalties

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