Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		HC CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.21	3.75	2.13
	3.22	3.83	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.06)	3.79 ↓ (4.09)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
29.9%

Draw
25.4%

HC CSKA Moscow
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

23.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

23.2%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

HC CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sibir Novosibirsk - HC CSKA Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. CSKA will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Berdin M. (G)	32. Samonov A. (G)
22. Priskie C.	98. Hollowell M.
27. Gordeev F.	89. Nesterov N. (A)
85. Beck T. (A)	19. Drozdov I.
12. Nekolenko A.	15. Karnaukhov P. (C)
19. Andreoff A.	72. Buchelnikov D.
Line 2
38. Baklashev N.	79. Roy J.
21. Alanov Y. (A)	28. Patrikhayev I.
11. Koshelev S.	51. Kovalenko N.
97. Abramov M.	16. Zernov D.
15. Kosolapov A.	34. Gurianov D.
Line 3
9. Zaitsev Y.	5. Samorukov D.
74. Orlov M.	55. Okhotyuk N.
51. Leshchenko V.	11. Abramov V.
18. Loktionov A.	27. Sorkin M. (A)
61. Yakovlev A.	13. Poltapov P.
Line 4
76. Akhiyarov T.	88. Yeryomenko V.
24. Sushko M.	97. Churkin A.
45. Pyanov V.	23. Gardner R.
52. Shirokov S. (C)	63. Mingachyov T.
Substitutes
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	33. Gamzin D. (G)
86. Lyuzenkov I.	69. Maistrenko O.
Coaches
. Lyuzenkov Y.	. Nikitin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:47, Roy J. (2 min),
07:11, Yakovlev A. (2 min),
07:46, Poltapov P. (2 min),
14:54, 1 - 0, Abramov M. (G), Kosolapov A. (A), Gordeev F. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
07:24, Nekolenko A. (2 min),
08:49, 1 - 1, Buchelnikov D. (G), Abramov V. (A), Sorkin M. (A2)
11:32, Buchelnikov D. (2 min),
17:04, Sorkin M. (2 min),
17:49, 2 - 1, Priskie C. (G), Beck T. (A), Kosolapov A. (A2)
19:56, 3 - 1, Kosolapov A. (G), Koshelev S. (A), Zaitsev Y. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
11:33, 3 - 2, Abramov V. (G), Sorkin M. (A), Poltapov P. (A2)
19:53, Kovalenko N. (2 min),

Preview

CSKA is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 0.

Recent performances by Sibir have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

CSKA is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sibir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sibir has had a series of away games.

CSKA will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sibir won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 30:63. (average 1.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sibir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:23. (average 1.4:2.9).

Outrights of KHL for now

CSKA Moscow: 13.3%

Last Results with these Odds

HC CSKA Moscow - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
13.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:2 OT ✺
09.03.26	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:3 ✺
05.03.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLWL
- HC CSKA Moscow
KHL
14.03.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - HC CSKA Moscow	0:3 ✺
11.03.26	Sochi - HC CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Sochi	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Avangard Omsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0
19.01.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - HC CSKA Moscow	3:4 penalties
10.09.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	8:2
22.02.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:3 OT
28.10.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - HC CSKA Moscow	3:6
06.10.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - HC CSKA Moscow	0:3
29.09.22	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3

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