Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg)


	Shanghai Dragons		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.55	4.1	2.47
	2.61	4.3	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.61)	4.2 ↓ (4.3)	2.44 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Dragons
37.4%

Draw
23%

Sibir Novosibirsk
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

22.6%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

27.7%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shanghai Dragons that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sibir Novosibirsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	55.6%	0%

Shanghai Dragons - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shanghai will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Shikin D. (G)	1. Berdin M. (G)
24. Reilly W.	22. Priskie C.
28. Bischoff J. (C)	27. Gordeev F.
81. Popugayev N. A.	85. Beck T. (A)
14. Sutter R. (A)	18. Loktionov A.
22. Fu Jiang	19. Andreoff A.
Line 2
5. Clendening A.	91. Valitov D.
2. Kalynuk W.	21. Alanov Y. (A)
17. Rendulic B.	11. Koshelev S.
16. Josephs T.	97. Abramov M.
10. Merkley N. (A)	15. Kosolapov A.
Line 3
74. Bryntsev A.	9. Zaitsev Y.
9. Valentsov V.	74. Orlov M.
12. Labanc K.	51. Leshchenko V.
72. Quinney G.	45. Pyanov V.
37. Sucese N.	52. Shirokov S. (C)
Line 4
11. Kuznetsov V.	86. Lyuzenkov I.
92. Rasskazov K.	38. Baklashev N.
91. Wagner A.	24. Sushko M.
	26. Klimovich I.
	61. Yakovlev A.
Substitutes
90. Tikhomirov A. (G)	33. Krasotkin A. (G)
Coaches
. Love M.	. Lyuzenkov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
07:03, Sucese N. (2 min),
09:49, Shirokov S. (2 min),
18:43, Alanov Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:36, 0 - 1, Kosolapov A. (G), Koshelev S. (A), Abramov M. (A2)
13:03, Valentsov V. (2 min),
13:47, Bischoff J. (5 min),
13:47, Andreoff A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:11, 1 - 1, Fu Jiang (G), Sutter R. (A), Popugayev N. A. (A2)
08:34, 1 - 2, Leshchenko V. (G), Pyanov V. (A), Zaitsev Y. (A2)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - SKA Arena.

Shanghai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sibir has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sibir may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shanghai has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanghai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
01.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	6:5 OT ✺
22.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Shanghai Dragons	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons	3:4 OT ✺
18.02.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
24.02.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT ✺
22.02.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Avangard Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:1 penalties ✺
18.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Amur Khabarovsk	1:2 OT ✺
12.02.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lada Togliatti	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
17.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Shanghai Dragons	0:3

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