Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Kunlun

	1	X	2
	1.75	4.01	3.99
	1.72	4.7	4.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.09)	4.36 ↑ (3.75)	4.06 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
54.8%

Draw
21.8%

Kunlun
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

25.5%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sibir Novosibirsk's performance.

Kunlun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kunlun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sibir Novosibirsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kunlun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sibir will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Kostin D. (G)	90. Volkov K. (G)
27. Gordeev F.	44. Clendening A.
8. Murphy T.	7. Chelios J. (A)
85. Beck T. (A)	15. Shuai Fu (A)
45. Pyanov V.	8. Chartier R.
71. Butuzov V.	22. Fu Jiang
Line 2
21. Alanov Y.	58. Merkley R.
55. Martynov Y.	81. Pautov Y.
91. Karpov M.	92. Jurco T.
19. Andreoff A.	20. Lockhart L.
18. Belousov G.	65. Yakupov N.
Line 3
7. Morozov I.	25. Kozhevnikov A.
76. Akhiyarov T.	12. McCoshen I.
52. Shirokov S. (C)	18. Yip B. (C)
61. Yakovlev A.	21. O'Regan D.
10. Korotkov N. (A)	11. Wilkie C.
Line 4
12. Pershakov A.	83. Elynuik H.
17. Gogolev P.	74. Graovac T.
15. Sushko M.	10. Wong A.
87. Dubakin S.
Substitutes
30. Kokaulin S. (G)	86. Sinyatkin S.
	45. Smith J. (G)
Coaches
. Yepanchintsev V.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
08:57, 1 - 0, Sushko M. (G), Dubakin S. (A), Alanov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:50, 2 - 0, Shirokov S. (G), Morozov I. (A), Korotkov N. (A2)
03:15, 3 - 0, Murphy T. (G), Dubakin S. (A),
05:52, Yip B. (2 min),
14:37, Murphy T. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:16, 3 - 1, Jurco T. (G), Lockhart L. (A),
01:16, (2 min),
07:20, McCoshen I. (2 min),
13:22, Murphy T. (2 min),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sibir won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Sibir is a favorite.

There will not play in Sibir: Ovchinnikov D. (Injury)

There will not play in Kunlun: Somerby D. (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Sibir to win the game is with odds 1.78.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sibir won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 62-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Sibir won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
17.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	5:2 ✺
15.09.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Avangard Omsk	4:1 ✺
12.09.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:5 ✺
10.09.24	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	8:2 ✺
06.09.24	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLL
- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
17.09.24	Admiral Vladivostok - Kunlun	7:1 ✺
15.09.24	Amur Khabarovsk - Kunlun	2:3 ✺
12.09.24	Kunlun - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:6 ✺
08.09.24	Kunlun - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4 ✺
06.09.24	Kunlun - Admiral Vladivostok	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
27.11.23	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	3:2
18.11.23	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:2 OT
09.09.22	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	4:0
06.09.22	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 penalties
12.12.21	Sibir Novosibirsk - Kunlun	3:2 OT
04.12.21	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:7
06.11.21	Kunlun - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3

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