Match Info

RUSSIA: KHL

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arena Mytishchi (Mytishchi)


	Kunlun		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.09	1.95
	3.46	4.5	1.89	Watch
	3.08	4.19	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.33)	4.26 ↓ (4.4)	1.92 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kunlun
28.9%

Draw
22.1%

Severstal Cherepovets
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

22%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

21.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kunlun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Severstal Cherepovets have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kunlun than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kunlun - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Smith J. (G)	29. Samoilov A. (G)
44. Clendening A.	69. Pyanov E.
40. Lefebvre M.	44. Barberio M. (A)
32. Likhachyov Y.	13. Pilipenko K.
24. Sharov A.	53. Aimurzin D.
77. Zvyagin S.	99. Ilyin M.
Line 2
25. Kozhevnikov A.	8. Kaldis Y.
12. McCoshen I.	7. Burenov N.
21. O'Regan D.	78. Kruchinin A. (C)
20. Lockhart L.	17. Abrosimov R. (A)
42. Rau K.	97. Chebykin N.
Line 3
27. Somerby D. (A)	2. Grudinin V.
84. Paigin Z.	75. Davydov T.
92. Jurco T.	88. Dumbadze D.
74. Graovac T. (A)	66. Podshivalov I.
9. Halbgewachs J.	57. Kotlyarevsky M.
Line 4
15. Shuai Fu (C)	54. Churkin A.
71. Campbell C.	12. Skorenov A.
94. Drozg J.	6. Ivantsov I.
	9. Davydov D.
Substitutes
29. Rybar P. (G)	16. Nikitin V.
	1. Shostak K. (G)
Coaches
. Kravets M.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
02:08, Barberio M. (2 min),
06:01, Halbgewachs J. (2 min),
06:53, 0 - 1, Aimurzin D. (G), Ilyin M. (A), Kaldis Y. (A2)
10:03, Drozg J. (2 min),
12:09, 0 - 2, Kotlyarevsky M. (G), Skorenov A. (A), Chebykin N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:48, Kozhevnikov A. (2 min),
07:55, Paigin Z. (2 min),
10:19, 0 - 3, Podshivalov I. (G), Kotlyarevsky M. (A), Barberio M. (A2)
13:22, 1 - 3, Rau K. (G), Kozhevnikov A. (A), McCoshen I. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:50, 2 - 3, Somerby D. (G), O'Regan D. (A),
05:35, 3 - 3, Campbell C. (G), Lefebvre M. (A), Shuai Fu (A2)
06:45, 4 - 3, Halbgewachs J. (G), Paigin Z. (A), Graovac T. (A2)
13:15, 4 - 4, Churkin A. (G), Skorenov A. (A), Davydov D. (A2)
14:44, Barberio M. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
1, Abrosimov R. (Penalty Shot),
1, Jurco T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kruchinin A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Lockhart L. (Penalty Shot),
3, Aimurzin D. (Penalty Shot),
3, O'Regan D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ivantsov I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Halbgewachs J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Severstal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kunlun have a series of guest games.

Severstal will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Kunlun: Fu Jiang (Injury)

There will not play in Severstal: Dyblenko Y. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Kunlun won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 18 matches and goals 39:73 (average 2:3.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Kunlun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18:36 (average 2:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kunlun Red Star
KHL
15.03.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Kunlun	7:1 ✺
11.03.25	Sochi - Kunlun	2:5 ✺
09.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Kunlun	4:2 ✺
05.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Kunlun	2:3 penalties ✺
03.03.25	Dinamo Minsk - Kunlun	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWLWL
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
16.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Severstal Cherepovets	4:2 ✺
13.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 ✺
10.03.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:1 ✺
06.03.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Vityaz Balashikha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
23.01.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	3:0
08.11.24	Kunlun - Severstal Cherepovets	3:4
01.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	7:2
11.10.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	0:3
08.09.24	Kunlun - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	7:3
KHL
12.01.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Kunlun	2:1

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