Match Info

KHL

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Fetisov Arena (Vladivostok)


	Admiral Vladivostok		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	4.92	3.98	1.62
	4.85	3.9	1.6
	4.51	4.51	1.66	Watch
	4.3	4.4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.65 ↓ (5.01)	4.2 ↓ (5.01)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Admiral Vladivostok
20.1%

Draw
22.3%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.3%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Admiral Vladivostok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Admiral Vladivostok than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Yaroslavl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Admiral will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Admiral (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Kulbakov I. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
28. Ibragimov S.	99. Sergeyev A.
73. Sulak L. (C)	87. Rafikov R. (A)
36. Camara A.	70. Surin Y.
97. Volkov A. (A)	10. Ivanov G.
17. Zavgorodny D. (A)	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 2
7. Morozov I.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
94. Yefremov N.	5. Bereglazov A.
71. Muranov I.	17. Kotkov M.
47. Usmanov D.	78. Shalunov M.
11. Chezganov Y.	9. Nikolayev I.
Line 3
55. Kroshchinsky F.	73. Cherepanov N.
44. Zhukov K.	93. Misyul D.
21. Khulapov D.	90. Polunin A.
15. Grass M.	81. Romantsev D.
24. Musorov M.	91. Alexeyev D.
Line 4
23. Kudashov A.	77. Falkovsky S.
45. Mukhtarov D.	13. Fiore G.
70. Yanchenko I.	27. Kuzin A.
72. Bulavchuk O.	7. Kiryanov N.
Substitutes
1. Boyarkin N. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
	97. Yemelyanov K.
Coaches
. Bratash O.	. Kvartalnov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
11:48, 0 - 1, Polunin A. (G), Shalunov M. (A), Alexeyev D. (A2)
16:30, 0 - 2, Polunin A. (G), Romantsev D. (A), Alexeyev D. (A2)
17:36, Falkovsky S. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
07:15, Sulak L. (2 min),
08:41, Surin Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:28, Sergeyev A. (2 min),
04:02, Chezganov Y. (2 min),
04:29, Yefremov N. (2 min),
10:27, 1 - 2, Ibragimov S. (G), Chezganov Y. (A), Usmanov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Admiral won 1.

In recent outings, Admiral has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Admiral may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Lokomotiv carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Admiral has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 35:57 (averaging 1.8:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Admiral against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 17:30 goals (averaging 1.7:3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Vladivostok: 0.58%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 61.32%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Admiral Vladivostok
KHL
21.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - HC CSKA Moscow	3:4 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Severstal Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Admiral Vladivostok	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Admiral Vladivostok	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLLW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
18.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Avangard Omsk	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 ✺
10.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Severstal Cherepovets	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
23.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Admiral Vladivostok	3:2
06.12.25	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:3
17.03.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Admiral Vladivostok	4:1
02.12.24	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:3
08.02.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Admiral Vladivostok	1:2
08.11.23	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2
06.10.22	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:2 penalties

Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide