Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Sibir Arena (Novosibirsk)


	Sibir Novosibirsk		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	3.03	3.59	2.09
	2.93	4.23	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.27)	3.91 ↓ (4.29)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sibir Novosibirsk
31.5%

Draw
24%

Shanghai Dragons
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

22.6%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

20.3%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sibir Novosibirsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Shanghai Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	30%	70%

Sibir Novosibirsk - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shanghai will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Krasotkin A. (G)	42. Rybar P. (G)
73. Zhukov A.	24. Reilly W.
21. Alanov Y. (A)	44. Harpur B.
20. Wilson S.	12. Labanc K.
55. Tkachyov V. (C)	72. Quinney G.
82. Chekhovich I.	10. Merkley N.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.	74. Bryntsev A.
74. Orlov M.	27. Somerby D.
51. Leshchenko V.	81. Popugayev N. A.
12. Nekolenko A.	51. Spooner R.
11. Koshelev S.	91. Wagner A.
Line 3
54. Churkin A.	28. Bischoff J. (A)
44. Lukin A.	9. Valentsov V.
72. Bulavchuk O.	17. Rendulic B.
92. Rasskazov K.	16. Josephs T.
28. Pershakov A.	18. Akolzin P. (A)
Line 4
27. Gordeev F.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
88. Kara V.	37. Sucese N.
26. Klimovich I.	11. Kuznetsov V.
61. Yakovlev A. (A)
Substitutes
30. Kokaulin S. (G)	1. Kareyev A. (G)
86. Lyuzenkov I.
Coaches
. Bucaev V.	. Gallant G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
03:58, Labanc K. (2 min),
16:23, Reilly W. (2 min),
17:47, Leshchenko V. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:11, 0 - 1, Quinney G. (G), Labanc K. (A), Merkley N. (A2)
05:18, (2 min),
05:36, 0 - 2, Quinney G. (G), Spooner R. (A), Labanc K. (A2)
10:58, Bischoff J. (2 min),
16:37, Orlov M. (2 min),
19:20, Reilly W. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:57, Akhiyarov T. (2 min),
10:08, Klimovich I. (2 min),
10:41, 0 - 3, Merkley N. (G), Quinney G. (A), Spooner R. (A2)
13:31, Reilly W. (2 min),
13:31, Lukin A. (2 min),
13:40, Popugayev N. A. (2 min),
18:04, Wagner A. (5 min),
18:04, Kara V. (5 min),
18:13, Harpur B. (2 min),
18:13, Harpur B. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Sibir has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shanghai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sibir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Shanghai has had a series of away games.

Shanghai might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sibir Novosibirsk
KHL
15.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Dynamo Moscow	2:3 ✺
12.11.25	Dinamo Minsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	7:0 ✺
10.11.25	Spartak Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	6:3 ✺
08.11.25	HC CSKA Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	4:0 ✺
04.11.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
15.11.25	Sochi - Shanghai Dragons	4:2 ✺
10.11.25	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	1:4 ✺
08.11.25	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4 ✺
06.11.25	SKA Saint Petersburg - Shanghai Dragons	3:2 OT ✺
03.11.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Shanghai Dragons	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLL

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