Match Info

KHL

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	2.76	3.56	2.25
	2.73	4.14	2.28	Watch
	2.75	4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.45)	3.9 ↓ (4.16)	2.24 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
34.1%

Draw
24%

Shanghai Dragons
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

22.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

22.6%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	7.7%	7.7%

Sochi - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Shanghai will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochi: 65% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Shanghai (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Shanghai (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Shanghai (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	90. Tikhomirov A. (G)
22. Hoefenmayer N.	9. Valentsov V.
88. Nikolayev I.	5. Clendening A.
41. Bitten W.	72. Quinney G.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	12. Labanc K.
34. Popov S.	10. Merkley N.
Line 2
51. Sushko I.	28. Bischoff J. (A)
12. Lee C.	24. Reilly W.
29. Petukhov Y.	37. Sucese N.
61. Beaudin J.	15. Shuai Fu (C)
97. Seroukh D.	14. Sutter R.
Line 3
42. Khokhlov I.	74. Bryntsev A.
23. Machulin V.	27. Somerby D. (A)
71. Ellis M.	16. Josephs T.
77. Guskov M.	91. Wagner A.
27. Kagarlitsky D. (A)	17. Rendulic B.
Line 4
25. Dedunov P. (C)	22. Fu Jiang
79. Bashkirov D.	29. Kablukov I.
78. Polyakov N.	81. Popugayev N. A.
Substitutes
55. Avramov F.	1. Kareyev A. (G)
39. Kuzmin F.
35. Samsonov I. (G)
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Love M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:01, Labanc K. (2 min),
06:08, 0 - 1, Josephs T. (G), Rendulic B. (A), Wagner A. (A2)
11:49, Clendening A. (2 min),
11:49, Guskov M. (2 min),
13:03, 0 - 2, Merkley N. (G), Bryntsev A. (A), Labanc K. (A2)
13:59, Valentsov V. (2 min),
15:18, Josephs T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
01:00, Sutter R. (2 min),
01:47, 1 - 2, Popov S. (G), Ellis M. (A), Nikolayev I. (A2)
10:07, 1 - 3, Josephs T. (G), Somerby D. (A), Rendulic B. (A2)
10:28, 1 - 4, Reilly W. (G), Sutter R. (A), Sucese N. (A2)
12:22, Khomchenko P. ↓, Samsonov I. ↑,
13:10, Hoefenmayer N. (2 min),
13:25, Machulin V. (2 min),
14:41, Clendening A. (2 min),
14:41, Khokhlov I. (2 min),
15:15, 1 - 5, Labanc K. (G), Josephs T. (A),
18:59, Kablukov I. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:51, Valentsov V. (2 min),
10:14, Kagarlitsky D. (2 min),
11:49, 1 - 6, Quinney G. (G), Rendulic B. (A), Josephs T. (A2)
12:44, Kablukov I. (2 min),
14:18, 2 - 6, Kagarlitsky D. (G), Ellis M. (A), Nikolayev I. (A2)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 9).

Recent form of Sochi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shanghai is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shanghai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Outrights of KHL for now

Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.74%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
24.01.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets	4:5 OT ✺
18.01.26	Lada Togliatti - Sochi	4:0 ✺
16.01.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Sochi	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Sochi	9:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWL
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
24.01.26	Dinamo Minsk - Shanghai Dragons	6:1 ✺
22.01.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Shanghai Dragons	7:2 ✺
20.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Spartak Moscow	1:3 ✺
17.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Shanghai Dragons	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.11.25	Sochi - Shanghai Dragons	4:2

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