The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Slavutych Smolensk 57.4%
Draw 20.8%
Lokomotiv Orsha 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
19.1%
17.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
19%
17.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Slavutych Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Slavutych Smolensk's form might have worsened.
Lokomotiv Orsha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavutych Smolensk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Slavutych Smolensk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Orsha than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Slavutych Smolensk - Lokomotiv Orsha Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Sinyagin D. (G)
31. Karachun V. (G)
95. Antonov D.
4. Rogach D.
99. Gusev A.
73. Yerokho V.
66. Didkovsky A.
18. Paranin I.
17. Gorfinyak E.
96. Ignatov K.
16. Noskov D.
8. Buiko V.
Line 2
9. Antonovsky I.
55. Burovtsev D.
97. Tatarnikov K.
71. Buivan S.
88. Polkin M.
17. Apanasevich V.
51. Kurkov D.
9. Kashkar V.
55. Yegorov A.
16. Borozna T.
Line 3
15. Melnikov M.
24. Savelyev A.
90. Sergeyev I.
21. Tolopilo M.
85. Avramenko M.
19. Belyayev K.
47. Filippov V.
29. Bylina G.
83. Avramenko N.
13. Silchenko I.
Line 4
12. Kvon G.
15. Garapuchik A.
86. Kopylov S.
85. Pereguda A.
91. Kurdin I.
23. Klyukvin K.
71. Melnikov D.
27. Gilmanov A.
14. Rakitin D.
Substitutes
31. Gorbachev N. (G)
35. Shpilev A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
00:42, 1 - 0, Kurkov D. (G), Yegorov A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:01, 2 - 0, Didkovsky A. (G), Noskov D. (A),
13:27, 2 - 1, Silchenko I. (G), Belyayev K. (A), Savelyev A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:43, 3 - 1, Yegorov A. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Slavutych won 3.
Slavutych has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lokomotiv Orsha is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Lokomotiv Orsha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
In this match, Slavutych is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Slavutych won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 2.7:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Slavutych won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 3.3:2.3).
Watch
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Sinyagin D. (G) 
Karachun V. (G) 
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