Match Info

Date: 5 January 2021, Tuesday


	Sochi		Jokerit

	1	X	2
	4.3	4.65	1.61	Watch
	4.25	5	1.6
	4	5.1	1.62	Watch
	4.4	5	1.55
	4.16	5.49	1.56
	4	5.5	1.5
	4.55	5.05	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.21)	5.11 ↑ (4.25)	1.57 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
22.1%

Draw
18.3%

Jokerit
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

22.2%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

18%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sochi's form might have worsened.

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jokerit's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	8.3%	79.2%

Sochi - Jokerit Predictions

Users Predictions: Jokerit will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion to KHL (Play Offs)).

Sochi is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Jokerit is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Jokerit is a favorite.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Sochi won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 59-65.

Including matches at home between the teams Sochi won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 33-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
03.01.21	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	2:5 ✺
30.12.20	Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets	6:2 ✺
28.12.20	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:4 ✺
25.12.20	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	6:3 ✺
23.12.20	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Jokerit hockey
KHL
03.01.21	HC CSKA Moscow - Jokerit	5:4 OT ✺
30.12.20	Jokerit - SKA Saint Petersburg	2:1 ✺
28.12.20	Jokerit - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:3 OT ✺
26.12.20	Jokerit - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 penalties ✺
22.12.20	Dynamo Moscow - Jokerit	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
21.11.20	Jokerit - Sochi	3:0
03.11.20	Sochi - Jokerit	4:5 OT
28.12.19	Sochi - Jokerit	4:3 OT
08.10.19	Jokerit - Sochi	3:2 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.19	Sochi - Jokerit	3:1
KHL
28.12.18	Sochi - Jokerit	3:4
01.10.18	Jokerit - Sochi	4:2

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