Match Info

KHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk

	1	X	2
	3.02	4.12	2.11	Watch
	2.95	4.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.67)	4.19 ↓ (4.42)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
31.8%

Draw
22.7%

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

22%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

22%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Neftekhimik will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Neftekhimik (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	53. Dolganov F. (G)
23. Machulin V.	55. Pastukhov I.
11. Volkov A.	24. Serikov A.
34. Popov S.	33. Tochilkin G.
9. Vengryzhanovsky D.	21. Seleznyov G.
87. Khafizov T.	61. Khoruzhev N.
Line 2
88. Nikolayev I.	65. Fedotov M.
22. Hoefenmayer N.	29. Khairulin T.
41. Bitten W.	71. Belozyorov A.
24. Bikmullin R.	52. Mityakin Y.
71. Ellis M.	88. Zhafyarov D.
Line 3
51. Sushko I.	22. Profaca L.
12. Lee C.	7. Khlystov N.
78. Polyakov N.	50. Yurtaykin D.
19. Avershin D.	18. Dergachyov A.
98. Shvyryov I.	91. Shafigullin B.
Line 4
5. Sapozhnikov A.	5. Kroshchinsky F.
61. Beaudin J.	17. Nadvorny M.
25. Dedunov P.	16. Krivolapov N.
72. Maximov R.	69. Artamonov N.
Substitutes
79. Bashkirov D.	72. Nikolishin I.
35. Samsonov I. (G)	31. Ozolin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Grishin I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:17, 0 - 1, Khairulin T. (G), Mityakin Y. (A), Belozyorov A. (A2)
09:59, Ellis M. (2 min),
09:59, Tochilkin G. (2 min),
14:35, Nikolishin I. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
08:37, Bitten W. (2 min),
11:08, 1 - 1, Ellis M. (G), Bikmullin R. (A), Volkov A. (A2)
15:01, 2 - 1, Dedunov P. (G), Hoefenmayer N. (A), Beaudin J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01', Dolganov F. ↓, Ozolin Y. ↑,
03:10, Khairulin T. (2 min),
03:55, Bikmullin R. (2 min),
06:58, Ellis M. (2 min),
16:09, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
17', (2 min),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Neftekhimik will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 45:43. (average 2.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 2.2:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 36.36%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
28.12.25	Sochi - SKA Saint Petersburg	8:4 ✺
25.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	4:3 OT ✺
23.12.25	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Sochi	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Barys Astana - Sochi	1:5 ✺
17.12.25	Sochi - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLLWL
- HC Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk
KHL
28.12.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	5:0 ✺
26.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:4 OT ✺
24.12.25	Avangard Omsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 OT ✺
22.12.25	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	4:3 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Avangard Omsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
11.02.25	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:2 OT
24.10.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	2:1
25.02.24	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	2:5
12.10.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	2:3 penalties
20.02.23	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	1:3
28.12.22	Sochi - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	0:4
06.12.22	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Sochi	3:2

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