Match Info
KHLDate: 21 January 2026, WednesdayLocation: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)
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Sochi |
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Severstal Cherepovets |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.59 |
4.59 |
1.68 |
 Watch |
 |
4.25 |
4.5 |
1.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.42 ↑
(4) |
4.55 ↓
(4.67) |
1.67 ↓
(1.77) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sochi
21.6% | Draw
21.1% | Severstal Cherepovets
57.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-3.3%)Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Severstal (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 02:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),
- 04:08, 0 - 1, Ilyin M. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Skorenov A. (A2)
- 07:00, 0 - 2, Dumbadze D. (G), Kamalov N. (A), Podshivalov I. (A2)
- 09:20, Shvyryov I. (2 min),
- 14:12, 1 - 2, Dedunov P. (G),
- 2nd Period (3 - 0)
- 03:38, 2 - 2, Khafizov T. (G), Volkov A. (A), Khomchenko P. (A2)
- 05:57, 3 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Volkov A. (A),
- 05:57, Shostak K. ↓, Skotnikov V. ↑,
- 13:40, Tankov K. (5 min),
- 16:18, 4 - 2, Ellis M. (G), Khafizov T. (A), Hoefenmayer N. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 00:45, 4 - 3, Kvochko I. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Liska A. (A2)
- 05:08, Volkov A. (2 min),
- 08:39, 4 - 4, Podshivalov I. (G), Davydov T. (A), Dumbadze D. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:58, 4 - 5, Ilyin M. (G), Abrosimov R. (A), Davydov T. (A2)
- 03:59, Khafizov T. (2 min),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.Sochi has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Severstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Severstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Severstal has had a series of home games. In this match, Severstal is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 49:80. (average 2.5:4).Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:37. (average 2.7:4.1).
Outrights of KHL for now
Sochi: 0.28%
Last Results with these Odds
Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 54.9%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| KHL | | | 25.12.25 | Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi | 4:3 OT | | 06.11.25 | Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets | 4:5 OT | | 09.10.25 | Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi | 3:0 | | 26.01.25 | Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets | 3:4 penalties | | 20.12.24 | Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi | 2:1 | | 18.12.24 | Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi | 4:2 | | 01.10.24 | Sochi - Severstal Cherepovets | 1:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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