Match Info

KHL

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi) 🌤️ ...


	Sochi		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	6.72	4.69	1.41
	6.65	4.60	1.39
	5.84	5.43	1.45	Watch
	5.60	4.90	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↓ (6.23)	4.91 ↓ (5.51)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochi
15.1%

Draw
19.1%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.6%

17.6%

66.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

19%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
39. Shaimardanov D. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
76. Akhiyarov T.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
64. Graham J.	5. Bereglazov A.
97. Gusev N. (C)	16. Kayumov A.
77. Guskov M.	41. Pustovoy A.
29. Slepets K.	78. Shalunov M.
Line 2
88. Nikolayev I.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
62. Solyannikov G.	99. Sergeyev A.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	10. Ivanov G.
15. Petukhov Y.	17. Kotkov M.
10. Vengryzhanovsky D.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
74. Baldayev V.	73. Cherepanov N.
57. Guryev A.	77. Falkovsky S.
90. Akolzin P.	13. Fiore G.
18. Gizdatullin A.	90. Polunin A.
9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)	91. Alexeyev D.
Line 4
13. Belyakov Y.	49. Ulyev M.
89. Guslistov N.	7. Kiryanov N.
27. Korostelyov M.	27. Kuzin A.
14. Polyakov N.	89. Tesanov D.
Substitutes
1. Andreyanov P. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
	97. Yemelyanov K.
Coaches
. Mironov A.	. Kvartalnov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:56, Slepets K. (2 min),
08:42, 0 - 1, Fiore G. (G), Falkovsky S. (A), Kiryanov N. (A2)
13:47, 0 - 2, Bereglazov A. (G), Alexeyev D. (A), Fiore G. (A2)
14:06, Falkovsky S. (2 min),
18:23, Guryev A. (2 min),
18:41, 0 - 3, Kayumov A. (G), Shalunov M. (A), Bereglazov A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
01:36, 0 - 4, Alexeyev D. (G), Polunin A. (A), Falkovsky S. (A2)
01:36, Shaimardanov D. ↓, Andreyanov P. ↑,
05:39, 1 - 4, Vengryzhanovsky D. (G),
08:08, Baldayev V. (2 min),
10:33, Cherepanov N. (5 min),
11:14, Polunin A. (2 min),
12:04, Ivanov G. (2 min),
13:22, 2 - 4, Kagarlitsky D. (G), Khafizov T. (A), Akhiyarov T. (A2)
15:09, 3 - 4, Khafizov T. (G), Akhiyarov T. (A), Gusev N. (A2)
18:57, Kayumov A. (2 min),
19:28, 3 - 5, Yelesin A. (G), Fiore G. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:09, Akhiyarov T. (2 min),
13:10, Yemelyanov K. (2 min),
13:54, Ivanov G. (2 min),
19:57, 3 - 6, Radulov A. (G), Shalunov M. (A), Sergeyev A. (A2)

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Sochi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Sochi has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The betting markets point to Lokomotiv as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sochi has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:62 (averaging 1.5:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sochi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with 17:35 goals (averaging 1.5:3.2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 23.06% Sochi: 0.26%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 6.23 are the expected chance of winning is 15.56%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 66.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
12.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	2:3 ✺
09.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:6 ✺
30.09.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLLLW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
15.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	5:2 ✺
10.10.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	6:1 ✺
05.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
03.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:3 ✺
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
04.03.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT
01.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:0
22.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	5:0
02.03.25	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:4
22.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:1
12.10.24	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2

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