Match Info

KHL

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	7.85	5.8	1.34
	7.85	6.59	1.33	Watch
	5.66	4.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.12 ↑ (6.64)	5.63 ↑ (5.51)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sochi
13.2%

Draw
16.7%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

17.6%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

17%

70.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	20%	50%

Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sochi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Lokomotiv will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
42. Khokhlov I.	99. Sergeyev A.
11. Volkov A. (A)	87. Rafikov R. (A)
41. Bitten W.	72. Beryozkin M.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	78. Shalunov M.
97. Seroukh D.	16. Kayumov A.
Line 2
37. Malyshev A.	73. Cherepanov N.
23. Machulin V.	28. Gernat M.
71. Ellis M.	70. Surin Y.
77. Guskov M.	10. Ivanov G.
27. Kagarlitsky D.	47. Radulov A. (A)
Line 3
51. Sushko I.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
14. Mokrushev D.	5. Bereglazov A.
25. Dedunov P. (C)	14. Panik R.
34. Popov S.	51. Froese B.
78. Polyakov N.	7. Kiryanov N.
Line 4
29. Petukhov Y.	93. Misyul D.
79. Bashkirov D.	91. Alexeyev D.
55. Avramov F.	27. Kuzin A.
	90. Polunin A.
Substitutes
39. Kuzmin F.	92. Isayev D. (G)
35. Samsonov I. (G)	9. Nikolayev I.
15. Utkin D.
Coaches
. Mikhailov D.	. Hartley B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
00:56, Malyshev A. (2 min),
17:52, Sergeyev A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
06:02, 0 - 1, Panik R. (G), Shalunov M. (A),
10:21, 1 - 1, Kagarlitsky D. (G), Bitten W. (A),
12:39, 1 - 2, Panik R. (G),
13:34, Machulin V. (2 min),
14:13, 2 - 2, Seroukh D. (G), Khafizov T. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:29, 2 - 3, Bereglazov A. (G), Panik R. (A), Yelesin A. (A2)
14:03, Malyshev A. (2 min),
19:53, Guskov M. (2 min),
19:53, Guskov M. (2 min),
19:53, Ivanov G. (2 min),

Preview

Lokomotiv is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 0.

Recent performances by Sochi have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lokomotiv is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lokomotiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sochi has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotiv is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 30:64. (average 1.5:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 1.5:3.4).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 24.42% Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 67.8%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
01.03.26	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	Sochi - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
25.02.26	Sochi - Dinamo Minsk	2:7 ✺
19.02.26	Dynamo Moscow - Sochi	4:0 ✺
17.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Sochi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLL
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
02.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:3 penalties ✺
28.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:5 ✺
24.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dynamo Moscow	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 penalties ✺
17.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
14.02.26	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 OT
01.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:0
22.09.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	5:0
02.03.25	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:4
22.12.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:1
12.10.24	Sochi - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2
28.09.24	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sochi	3:1

Upcoming Matches