Match Info

KHL

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Minsk-Arena (Minsk)


	Dinamo Minsk		Lokomotiv Yaroslavl

	1	X	2
	2.89	3.63	2.22
	2.85	3.55	2.19
	3.02	4.22	2.09	Watch
	2.85	3.95	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.67)	3.84 ↓ (4.31)	2.15 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Minsk
32.2%

Draw
24.3%

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

22.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

21.9%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo Minsk than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Yaroslavl than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Demchenko V. (G)	92. Isayev D. (G)
61. Ouellet X.	87. Rafikov R. (A)
28. Bischoff J.	99. Sergeyev A.
80. Usov I.	10. Ivanov G.
26. Sotishvili D.	47. Radulov A. (A)
14. Kuznetsov S. (A)	70. Surin Y.
Line 2
27. Brook J.	4. Yelesin A. (C)
24. Smith T.	5. Bereglazov A.
71. Tierney C. (C)	16. Kayumov A.
9. Lipsky D.	17. Kotkov M.
7. Anas S. (A)	78. Shalunov M.
Line 3
93. Kuzmin D.	73. Cherepanov N.
33. Lyle B.	93. Misyul D.
97. Galiyev S.	9. Nikolayev I.
37. Chukhraev A.	13. Fiore G.
22. Gardner R.	90. Polunin A.
Line 4
62. Lozovsky K.	77. Falkovsky S.
76. Maltsev M.	7. Kiryanov N.
72. Alistrov V.	27. Kuzin A.
68. Belkin B.	41. Pustovoy A.
Substitutes
60. Fucale Z. (G)	38. Melnichuk A. (G)
91. Pyshkaylo N.	97. Yemelyanov K.
Coaches
. Brylin S.	. Kvartalnov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:47, Radulov A. (2 min),
16:50, Sotishvili D. (2 min),
17:06, 0 - 1, Kayumov A. (G), Cherepanov N. (A), Shalunov M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:57, Radulov A. (2 min),
04:16, 1 - 1, Sotishvili D. (G), Usov I. (A), Kuznetsov S. (A2)
08:13, 1 - 2, Pustovoy A. (G), Kiryanov N. (A), Kuzin A. (A2)
09:29, Surin Y. (2 min),
11:20, Nikolayev I. (2 min),
13:21, 2 - 2, Sotishvili D. (G),
13:21, Radulov A. (2 min),
15:13, Usov I. (2 min),
17:51, Kuzin A. (2 min),
18:11, 3 - 2, Galiyev S. (G), Smith T. (A), Anas S. (A2)
19:04, Ouellet X. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
05:48, 4 - 2, Galiyev S. (G), Tierney C. (A), Lipsky D. (A2)
07:26, Smith T. (2 min),
18:45, Brook J. (2 min),
19:16, 4 - 3, Radulov A. (G), Kayumov A. (A), Rafikov R. (A2)

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Minsk won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lokomotiv could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Lokomotiv holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo Minsk has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 52:49 (averaging 2.6:2.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo Minsk against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 30:23 goals (averaging 3:2.3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: 16.47% Dinamo Minsk: 3.46%

Last Results with these Odds

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dinamo Minsk
KHL
01.10.26	Dinamo Minsk - HC CSKA Moscow	1:4 ✺
28.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lada Togliatti	5:4 ✺
26.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Dinamo Minsk	4:3 OT ✺
20.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLW
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
KHL
30.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Sibir Novosibirsk	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:1 ✺
23.09.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
15.03.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	2:1 penalties
21.02.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	5:4 penalties
12.02.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	4:2
21.01.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	2:1
16.12.25	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Dinamo Minsk	3:2 penalties
29.09.25	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:2 penalties
12.02.25	Dinamo Minsk - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	3:1

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