Match Info

KHL

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: SKA Arena (Saint Petersburg) 🌤️ ...


	Shanghai Dragons		Ak Bars Kazan

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.61	2.64
	2.35	3.55	2.6
	2.71	4.23	2.26	Watch
	2.38	3.95	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.84 ↓ (4.39)	2.49 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Dragons
38%

Draw
24.4%

Ak Bars Kazan
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

22.1%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

22%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Shanghai Dragons - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Shanghai will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Ak Bars will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Khomchenko P. (G)	20. Arefyev M. (G)
38. Naumenkov M. (A)	58. Miller M.
20. Williams C.	96. Lyamkin N. (A)
21. Murray B.	29. Yakupov R.
17. Solovyov Y.	55. Chmelevski A.
14. Sutter R.	94. Semyonov K. (A)
Line 2
27. Menell B.	28. Terekhov S.
4. Cicek N.	53. Marchenko A. (C)
23. Jaskin D. (C)	14. Denisenko G.
9. Chen D.	16. Zernov D.
7. Petan N. (A)	59. Terekhov S.
Line 3
6. Addison C.	33. Yarullin A.
2. Ottenbreit T.	44. Yevseyev N.
63. Mingachyov T.	22. Byvaltsev A.
59. Alexandrov N.	26. Sokolov Y.
37. Sucese N.	50. Komkov D.
Line 4
19. Malorosiyanov D.	64. Nikitin K.
71. Dudorov V.	23. Stas A.
53. Kotlyarevsky M.	86. Dynyak N.
32. Khripunov S.	92. Katelevsky D.
Substitutes
35. Miftakhov A. (G)	82. Bilyalov T. (G)
	98. Saberzyanov M.
Coaches
. Love M.	. Gatiyatulin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:23, Ottenbreit T. (2 min),
16:59, 0 - 1, Semyonov K. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Byvaltsev A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
03:19, Semyonov K. (2 min),
09:51, Lyamkin N. (2 min),
18:38, Khripunov S. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:52, Yarullin A. (2 min),
05:04, Petan N. (2 min),
10:55, 1 - 1, Murray B. (G), Menell B. (A),
11:11, 1 - 2, Katelevsky D. (G), Marchenko A. (A),
13:28, 2 - 2, Chen D. (G), Addison C. (A), Sutter R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:23, 2 - 3, Semyonov K. (G), Chmelevski A. (A), Miller M. (A2)

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 7th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In recent outings, Shanghai has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ak Bars is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Shanghai may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ak Bars has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Shanghai has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:11 (averaging 1:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Shanghai against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals.

Outrights of KHL for now

Bars Kazan: 5.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 38.33%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
14.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:6 ✺
12.10.26	Shanghai Dragons - Dinamo Minsk	2:3 ✺
07.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	2:3 ✺
05.10.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	0:5 ✺
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWL
- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
12.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
05.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Shanghai Dragons	4:0
KHL
30.11.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Shanghai Dragons	4:1
23.11.25	Shanghai Dragons - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties

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