Match Info

KHL

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Shanghai Oriental Sports Center (Shanghai)


	Shanghai Dragons		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.88	4.1	3.65
	1.89	4.11	3.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.24)	4.11 ↑ (4.07)	3.66 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Dragons
50.6%

Draw
23.3%

Barys Astana
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

23.8%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

22.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shanghai Dragons's performance.

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barys Astana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Shanghai Dragons - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Shanghai will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
88. Shikin D. (G)	1. Boyarkin N. (G)
24. Reilly W.	2. Massie J. (A)
28. Bischoff J. (C)	71. Daniyar Sam.
14. Sutter R. (A)	88. Vecchione M.
22. Fu Jiang	11. Morelli M.
81. Popugayev N. A.	70. Simonov S.
Line 2
2. Kalynuk W.	3. McCoshen I.
5. Clendening A.	44. Walsh R.
10. Merkley N. (A)	10. Willman M.
16. Josephs T.	9. Thompson T.
17. Rendulic B.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
Line 3
9. Valentsov V.	19. Orazov B.
74. Bryntsev A.	87. Beketayev A. (A)
12. Labanc K.	22. Panyukov K.
37. Sucese N.	12. Logvin V.
72. Quinney G.	96. Asetov A.
Line 4
11. Kuznetsov V.	24. Breus D.
29. Kablukov I.	79. Mindubayev T.
91. Wagner A.	29. Lyapunov K.
	17. Omirbekov A.
	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
90. Tikhomirov A. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
Coaches
. Love M.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 4)
00:57, 1 - 0, Sutter R. (G),
04:48, 1 - 1, Savitsky K. (G), Lyapunov K. (A),
05:02, Reilly W. (2 min),
05:44, 1 - 2, Walsh R. (G), Willman M. (A), Vecchione M. (A2)
08:07, 2 - 2, Clendening A. (G), Fu Jiang (A), Sutter R. (A2)
08:59, 2 - 3, Vecchione M. (G), Walsh R. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
11:39, Labanc K. (2 min),
15:17, 2 - 4, Morelli M. (G), Breus D. (A), Beketayev A. (A2)
18:17, McCoshen I. (2 min),
19:16, Omirbekov A. (2 min),
19:44, 3 - 4, Rendulic B. (G), Popugayev N. A. (A), Clendening A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:23, 3 - 5, Vecchione M. (G), Massie J. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
05:58, 3 - 6, Simonov S. (G), McCoshen I. (A), Vecchione M. (A2)
07:37, 4 - 6, Kuznetsov V. (G), Kablukov I. (A), Reilly W. (A2)
13:09, Simonov S. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
02:21, 4 - 7, Logvin V. (G), Asetov A. (A), Panyukov K. (A2)
04:00, (2 min),
06:39, Walsh R. (2 min),
16:48, Josephs T. (2 min),
16:56, 4 - 8, Vecchione M. (G), Thompson T. (A), Morelli M. (A2)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - SKA Arena.

Shanghai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barys has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shanghai has had a series of away games.

Shanghai might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shanghai won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
05.03.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	HC CSKA Moscow - Shanghai Dragons	6:5 OT ✺
22.02.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Shanghai Dragons	4:1 ✺
20.02.26	Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Barys Astana
KHL
02.03.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Barys Astana	7:0 ✺
28.02.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	5:3 ✺
22.02.26	Barys Astana - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 OT ✺
20.02.26	Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons	3:4 OT ✺
17.02.26	Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
20.02.26	Barys Astana - Shanghai Dragons	3:4 OT

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