Match Info

KHL

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday

Location: Lada Arena (Togliatti)


	Lada Togliatti		Shanghai Dragons

	1	X	2
	3.13	3.72	2.07
	3.05	3.7	2.03
	3.13	4.33	2.02	Watch
	3.05	4.1	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	3.96 ↓ (4.4)	2.02 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lada Togliatti
30.2%

Draw
23.6%

Shanghai Dragons
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

22.1%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

19.9%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Shanghai Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Dragons than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Dragons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lada will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shanghai will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	35. Miftakhov A. (G)
27. Somerby D.	27. Menell B.
75. Groleau J.	4. Cicek N.
66. Mikhailov N.	22. Barulin V.
13. Sawchuk R. (A)	7. Petan N. (A)
18. Kugryshev D. (C)	23. Jaskin D. (C)
Line 2
12. Millman M.	6. Addison C.
89. Karpov A.	2. Ottenbreit T.
88. Setdikov N. (A)	37. Sucese N.
10. Chivilyov A.	9. Chen D.
71. Shakirov R.	59. Alexandrov N.
Line 3
99. Makarov N.	20. Williams C.
64. Belousov M.	19. Malorosiyanov D.
83. Belyayev M.	17. Solovyov Y.
14. King Ben	14. Sutter R. (A)
17. Safin O.	21. Murray B.
Line 4
44. Lukin A.	12. Chernov A.
28. Taimazov A.	63. Mingachyov T.
93. Rozhkov N. A.	54. Smith G.
19. Zinchenko I.
63. Groshev Y.
Substitutes
1. Mishurov A. (G)	30. Khomchenko P. (G)
Coaches
. Zubov P.	. Love M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:49, Millman M. (2 min),
06:37, 0 - 1, Solovyov Y. (G), Addison C. (A), Petan N. (A2)
15:43, Malorosiyanov D. (2 min),
18:26, Belyayev M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:10, Malorosiyanov D. (2 min),
12:55, 0 - 2, Murray B. (G), Sutter R. (A),
16:20, Safin O. (2 min),
18:17, 0 - 3, Sutter R. (G), Murray B. (A), Alexandrov N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
10:08, 0 - 4, Murray B. (G), Sutter R. (A), Addison C. (A2)
11:32, Chen D. (2 min),
16:04, 0 - 5, Chernov A. (G), Solovyov Y. (A), Mingachyov T. (A2)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

Lada is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Shanghai shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Lada has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Shanghai has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Shanghai holding a narrow advantage.

Our forecast points to a victory for Shanghai in today's match, at odds of 2.03.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Lada has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 2:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lada against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 2:6 goals (averaging 1:3 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lada Togliatti - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 30.61%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lada Togliatti
KHL
02.10.26	Avangard Omsk - Lada Togliatti	4:1 ✺
30.09.26	Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Lada Togliatti	3:1 ✺
28.09.26	Dinamo Minsk - Lada Togliatti	5:4 ✺
25.09.26	Lada Togliatti - HC CSKA Moscow	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Lada Togliatti	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Shanghai Dragons
KHL
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT ✺
30.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	4:1 ✺
28.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sochi	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
01.03.26	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:2
05.01.26	Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti	3:2
19.12.25	Shanghai Dragons - Lada Togliatti	2:4
26.09.25	Lada Togliatti - Shanghai Dragons	1:4

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