Match Info

KHL

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Bolshoy Ice Dome (Sochi)


	Sochi		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	4.95	4.19	1.58
	4.85	4.1	1.55
	5.22	4.61	1.61	Watch
	4.5	4.4	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (5.22)	4.33 ↓ (4.61)	1.58 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sochi
19.1%

Draw
21.6%

Spartak Moscow
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.1%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

17.6%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Spartak Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartak Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sochi - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
39. Shaimardanov D. (G)	28. Fedotov I. (G)
62. Solyannikov G.	48. Jaros C.
88. Nikolayev I.	94. Mironov A. (C)
29. Slepets K.	88. Galchenyuk A.
77. Guskov M.	13. Maltsev M.
97. Gusev N. (C)	10. Comtois M.
Line 2
76. Akhiyarov T.	4. Keane J.
13. Belyakov Y.	49. Dronov N.
15. Petukhov Y.	16. Pivchulin D.
87. Khafizov T. (A)	6. Ryabov I.
10. Vengryzhanovsky D.	78. Gutik D.
Line 3
64. Graham J.	44. Reilly W.
74. Baldayev V.	55. Vishnevsky D. (A)
93. Khokhlachev A.	98. Belyayev A.
72. Quinney G.	2. Varyushkin Y.
17. Fedotov I.	99. Filin Y.
Line 4
57. Guryev A.	89. Korolyov V.
14. Polyakov N.	38. Kotlyarov I.
18. Gizdatullin A.	97. Kholodilin N. (A)
9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)	76. Lukyantsev S.
Substitutes
31. Shchetilin A. (G)	71. Kozhushko S.
	50. Zagidulin A. (G)
Coaches
. Mironov A.	. Zhamnov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:14, 0 - 1, Belyayev A. (G), Filin Y. (A), Keane J. (A2)
13:19, Keane J. (2 min),
19:10, Guskov M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
02:58, Maltsev M. (2 min),
06:32, Belyakov Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:26, Fedotov I. (2 min),
02:44, 0 - 2, Galchenyuk A. (G), Pivchulin D. (A), Keane J. (A2)
09:37, Khokhlachev A. (2 min),
11:58, Baldayev V. (2 min),

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th and 8th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 1.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Spartak may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Spartak has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Spartak for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sochi has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 38:61 (averaging 1.9:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sochi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 15:30 goals (averaging 1.5:3 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Spartak Moscow: 2.49% Sochi: 0.28%

Last Results with these Odds

Sochi - the odds 5.22 are the expected chance of winning is 18.61%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Spartak Moscow - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 60.33%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sochi
KHL
07.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:6 ✺
30.09.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
28.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sochi	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWLL
- HC Spartak Moscow
KHL
07.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
04.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Barys Astana	3:4 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Spartak Moscow - Metallurg Magnitogorsk	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:4 ✺
26.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
07.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:5
04.11.25	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:1 OT
02.11.25	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	5:2
26.10.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	5:3
07.09.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	4:3
20.03.25	Spartak Moscow - Sochi	3:1
04.11.24	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	1:3

Upcoming Matches