Match Info

Date: 7 December 2021, Tuesday


	Sparta Prague		Rögle

	1	X	2
	2.6	4.5	2	Watch
	3	4.2	1.95
	2.95	4	2.02	Watch
	2.9	4.1	2.04
	3.02	4.06	2.11
	3	4.33	2
	2.95	4.2	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.42)	4.2 ↑ (4.1)	2.03 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
31.9%

Draw
22.2%

Rögle
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.2%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

17.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Prague's form might have worsened.

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rögle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Prague than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Sparta Prague - Rögle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

1st leg.

Sparta Prague is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Rögle is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rögle will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Sparta Prague
Czech Extraliga
05.12.21	Rytíři Kladno - Sparta Prague	0:6 ✺
03.12.21	Sparta Prague - PSG Zlín	4:6 ✺
30.11.21	Energie Karlovy Vary - Sparta Prague	4:5 OT ✺
28.11.21	Sparta Prague - Bílí Tygři Liberec	4:1 ✺
26.11.21	Mountfield Hradec Králové - Sparta Prague	3:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW
- Rögle BK
SHL
04.12.21	Rögle - Örebro	4:5 OT ✺
02.12.21	Rögle - Brynäs	4:2 ✺
30.11.21	Timrå - Rögle	4:3 penalties ✺
27.11.21	Rögle - Leksand	1:4 ✺
25.11.21	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW

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