Match Info

AHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: MassMutual Center (Springfield, MA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Springfield Thunderbirds		Bridgeport Islanders

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.2	2	Watch
	2.9	4.35	1.99
	3.09	4.21	1.96
	2.98	4.35	1.99	Watch
	2.88	4.2	1.95
	2.93	4.1	1.99	Watch
	2.6	3.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.37)	4.18 ↑ (3.93)	2.01 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Springfield Thunderbirds
32.1%

Draw
22%

Bridgeport Islanders
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

23.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.4%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Springfield Thunderbirds's form might have worsened.

Bridgeport Islanders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bridgeport Islanders's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Springfield Thunderbirds - Bridgeport Islanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zherenko V. (G)	1. Hogberg M. (G)
12. Bordeleau T.	49. Bear E.
9. Buchinger M.	34. Beckman A.
42. Burns Q.	36. Drew H.
14. Dean Z.	7. Dube P.
45. Gaudet M.	8. Foudy L.
41. Kaskimaki A.	44. Gauthier J.
13. Kessy K.	4. George I.
4. Lindstein T.	20. Highmore M. (A)
7. Loof L.	16. Jefferies A.
39. Luff M.	11. Kuefler D.
11. McGing H.	18. Maggio M.
63. Peca M. (C)	3. McWard C.
18. Pekarcik J.	10. Mitchell T.
26. Robertsson S.	42. Reedy S.
43. Rosen C.	24. Rowe L.
55. Skinner H.	29. Smith C.
49. Stancl J.	15. Thiesing C.
88. Wagner C. (A)	6. Warren M.
Substitutes
40. Cranley W. (G)	50. Tikkanen H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
14:54, 1 - 0, Bordeleau T. (G), Rosen C. (A),
16:10, 2 - 0, Wagner C. (G), Kaskimaki A. (A), Peca M. (A2)
19:05, 2 - 1, Gauthier J. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:53, 3 - 1, Kaskimaki A. (G), Luff M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
05:02, 3 - 2, Drew H. (G), Smith C. (A), Foudy L. (A2)
08:42, 3 - 3, Foudy L. (G), George I. (A), Rowe L. (A2)
11:31, 3 - 4, Dube P. (G),
14:28, 4 - 4, McGing H. (G), Pekarcik J. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Springfield has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 61:71. (average 3.1:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:40. (average 3.3:4).

Last Results with these Odds

Springfield Thunderbirds - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 38.51%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.29%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
18.02.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	2:7 ✺
14.02.26	Iowa Wild - Springfield Thunderbirds	6:8 ✺
13.02.26	Iowa Wild - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:6 ✺
07.02.26	Toronto Marlies - Springfield Thunderbirds	5:1 ✺
06.02.26	Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLL
- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
17.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Utica Comets	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Providence Bruins - Bridgeport Islanders	3:2 OT ✺
14.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Providence Bruins	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	5:1 ✺
06.02.26	Utica Comets - Bridgeport Islanders	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
01.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:0
17.01.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:1
02.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Bridgeport Islanders	4:2
28.12.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Bridgeport Islanders	4:3 OT
29.11.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Bridgeport Islanders	2:3 penalties
28.11.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:6
08.11.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	6:1

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