Match Info

AHL

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Blue Cross Arena (Rochester, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Rochester Americans		Springfield Thunderbirds

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.5	3.5	Watch
	1.7	4.6	3.65
	1.64	4.62	3.69
	1.66	4.87	3.82	Watch
	1.67	4.4	3.6
	1.66	4.7	3.66	Watch
	1.76	4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	4.53 ↓ (4.82)	3.63 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochester Americans
54.5%

Draw
20.2%

Springfield Thunderbirds
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

19.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

19.9%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ratzlaff S. (G)	30. Romanov G. (G)
15. Bayreuther G.	12. Bordeleau T.
73. Costantini M.	9. Buchinger M.
12. Fiddler-Schultz R.	42. Burns Q.
29. Fulp A.	14. Dean Z.
4. Geertsen M.	29. Dube D.
91. Helenius K.	41. Kaskimaki A.
23. Johnson R.	4. Lindstein T.
39. Jones Z.	7. Loof L.
8. Joshua J.	39. Luff M.
83. Komarov V.	11. McGing H.
16. Kuntar T.	63. Peca M. (C)
7. Leschyshyn J.	18. Pekarcik J.
72. Meyer C.	22. Peterson D.
20. Nadeau O.	43. Rosen C.
74. Novikov N.	55. Skinner H.
18. Rosen I.	28. Stenberg O.
24. Wahlberg A.	16. Thomas A.
45. Warren B.	88. Wagner C. (A)
Substitutes
27. Levi D. (G)	1. Zherenko V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
08:04, 1 - 0, Rosen I. (G), Wahlberg A. (A), Jones Z. (A2)
17:02, 2 - 0, Rosen I. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:34, 3 - 0, Rosen I. (G), Helenius K. (A),
14:49, 4 - 0, Kuntar T. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Springfield may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Rochester has had a series of home games.

In this match, Rochester is a strong favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 61:46. (average 3.4:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:17. (average 3.9:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochester Americans
AHL
04.02.26	Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Rochester Americans - Utica Comets	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLLW
- Springfield Thunderbirds
AHL
04.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:3 ✺
01.02.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
02.04.25	Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds	4:2
03.01.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rochester Americans	2:5
20.01.24	Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds	7:3
13.12.23	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rochester Americans	4:3 penalties
25.02.23	Springfield Thunderbirds - Rochester Americans	1:7
10.02.23	Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds	0:4
19.04.22	Rochester Americans - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:2 penalties

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