The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Springfield Thunderbirds 32.1%
Draw 22%
Utica Comets 45.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
23.8%
39.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.1%
26.5%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Springfield Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Utica Comets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Springfield Thunderbirds, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Utica Comets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Springfield Thunderbirds - Utica Comets Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zherenko V. (G)
31. Malek J. (G)
12. Bordeleau T.
2. Addison C.
9. Buchinger M.
15. Criscuolo K. (A)
42. Burns Q.
9. Crookshank A. (A)
29. Dube D.
73. Edwards E.
45. Gaudet M.
14. Gruden J.
33. Gauthier J.
24. Halonen B.
41. Kaskimaki A.
39. Hardman M.
13. Kessy K.
18. Lachance S.
11. McGing H. (A)
11. Legare N.
37. Newpower W.
13. Malone J.
18. Pekarcik J.
28. McLaughlin M.
22. Peterson D.
21. Melovsky M.
26. Robertsson S.
44. Osipov D.
43. Rosen C. (A)
67. Parent X.
55. Skinner H.
12. Squires C.
49. Stancl J.
7. Strand A.
16. Thomas A.
38. Vilen T.
88. Wagner C. (C)
6. White C. (A)
Substitutes
40. Cranley W. (G)
50. Daws N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
16:16, 1 - 0, Peterson D. (G), Thomas A. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
01:47, 2 - 0, Wagner C. (G), Kaskimaki A. (A), Rosen C. (A2)
12:02, 3 - 0, Gauthier J. (G), Bordeleau T. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 3)
05:07, 3 - 1, Halonen B. (G), Vilen T. (A), Crookshank A. (A2)
08:16, 3 - 2, Parent X. (G), White C. (A),
11:31, 4 - 2, Wagner C. (G), Dube D. (A), Kaskimaki A. (A2)
12:30, 4 - 3, Crookshank A. (G), Edwards E. (A), Strand A. (A2)
18:32, 5 - 3, Wagner C. (G), Kaskimaki A. (A),
19:16, 6 - 3, Bordeleau T. (G), McGing H. (A), Burns Q. (A2)
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 7 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Utica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Springfield has had a series of home games.
Utica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Springfield won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 53:62. (average 2.7:3.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Springfield won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:20. (average 3:2).
Last Results with these Odds
Utica Comets - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.31%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.