Match Info

AHL

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Adirondack Bank Center (Utica, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Utica Comets		Syracuse Crunch

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	1.95	Watch
	3.15	4	1.95
	3.27	4.3	1.89
	3.29	4.36	1.87	Watch
	3.1	4	1.85
	3.31	4.05	1.85	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.02)	4.07 ↑ (3.8)	1.91 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utica Comets
29.3%

Draw
22.6%

Syracuse Crunch
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

24.1%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

25.9%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utica Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Syracuse Crunch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Daws N. (G)	59. Fanti R. (G)
2. Addison C.	80. Abruzzese N.
15. Criscuolo K. (A)	14. Allard T.
9. Crookshank A. (A)	21. Chaffee M.
58. Diotte M.	25. Duke D. (A)
73. Edwards E.	20. Flinton C.
14. Gruden J.	13. Furry B.
24. Halonen B.	79. Gauthier E.
39. Hardman M.	23. Groshev M.
18. Lachance S.	7. Lundmark S.
11. Legare N.	11. Mercuri L.
13. Malone J.	8. Miller T.
28. McLaughlin M.	50. Milne M.
21. Melovsky M.	18. Newkirk R.
44. Osipov D.	22. Pelletier J. (A)
67. Parent X.	75. Pietroniro M.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)	81. Roelens M.
38. Vilen T.	16. Santini S. (C)
6. White C.	28. Tinordi J.
Substitutes
31. Malek J. (G)	31. Halverson B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:48, 0 - 1, Abruzzese N. (G), Gauthier E. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:50, 0 - 2, Duke D. (G), Lundmark S. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
14:30, 0 - 3, Furry B. (G), Pelletier J. (A),
16:15, 1 - 3, Parent X. (G),
19:01, 1 - 4, Duke D. (G), Mercuri L. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utica won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Syracuse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Syracuse has had a series of home games.

Syracuse will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utica won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 51:56. (average 2.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Utica won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 3.3:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.36%, but this team recently wins 39% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utica Comets
AHL
07.03.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	7:3 ✺
06.03.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:2 ✺
03.03.26	Utica Comets - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	1:5 ✺
27.02.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW
- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
06.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	3:2 OT ✺
04.03.26	Laval Rocket - Syracuse Crunch	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Laval Rocket	6:4 ✺
21.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Charlotte Checkers	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
25.01.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	5:1
24.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	6:3
16.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	5:2
09.01.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	3:0
10.12.25	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	3:2
29.11.25	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	5:3
26.11.25	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	3:5

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