Match Info

OHL

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Dow Event Center (Saginaw, MI)


	Saginaw Spirit		Sudbury Wolves

	1	X	2
	1.93	4.46	3.02
	1.94	4.45	2.88	Watch
	1.95	4.2	2.75
	1.95	4.3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.76)	4.35 ↓ (4.94)	2.85 ↓ (3.17)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saginaw Spirit
47%

Draw
21%

Sudbury Wolves
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

18.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saginaw Spirit's form might have worsened.

Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saginaw Spirit, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sudbury Wolves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)	29. Frasca P. (G)
14. Barabanov E. (A)	44. Berehowsky D.
72. Barnes B.	93. Blonda L.
42. Cloutier J.	41. Brehmer J.
95. Geldart G.	26. Chovan J.
88. Hanrahan R.	19. Clayton B.
13. Harmer C. (A)	9. Coughlan C. (A)
4. Harper L.	11. Dean E.
9. Jones G.	24. Doucet H.
98. Klepov N.	7. Ewles G.
62. Pepoy B.	84. Gonchar A.
10. Rausa J.	77. Henderson R. (A)
11. Roscoe D.	81. Kostuch C.
90. Schmidt S.	13. Martin H.
23. Sienko K.	71. Nemec A.
27. Stewart B.	4. O'Dell T.
21. Storch L.	97. Provorov V.
17. Velliaris X.	57. Smith B.
71. Zhilkin D. (C)	88. Ula G.
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)	31. Bronas B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:38, 0 - 1, Coughlan C. (G), Dean E. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
17:18, 1 - 1, Zhilkin D. (G), Cloutier J. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
19:50, 2 - 1, Barnes B. (G), Harmer C. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sudbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Saginaw could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:61. (average 4.2:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 4.2:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Saginaw Spirit - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.32%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Sudbury Wolves - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.05%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saginaw Spirit
OHL
16.02.26	Windsor Spitfires - Saginaw Spirit	7:1 ✺
14.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - Windsor Spitfires	2:4 ✺
13.02.26	Sarnia Sting - Saginaw Spirit	3:11 ✺
11.02.26	Flint Firebirds - Saginaw Spirit	4:5 ✺
07.02.26	Saginaw Spirit - London Knights	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LLWWL
- Sudbury Wolves
OHL
16.02.26	Sudbury Wolves - Niagara IceDogs	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Sudbury Wolves - Brampton Steelheads	4:1 ✺
11.02.26	Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Sudbury Wolves	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Oshawa Generals - Sudbury Wolves	3:4 OT ✺
07.02.26	Peterborough Petes - Sudbury Wolves	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

OHL
15.11.25	Sudbury Wolves - Saginaw Spirit	2:1
28.02.25	Sudbury Wolves - Saginaw Spirit	2:7
15.02.25	Saginaw Spirit - Sudbury Wolves	8:3
16.02.24	Sudbury Wolves - Saginaw Spirit	6:3
16.12.23	Saginaw Spirit - Sudbury Wolves	4:3
09.12.22	Sudbury Wolves - Saginaw Spirit	2:4
09.10.22	Saginaw Spirit - Sudbury Wolves	5:2

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