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Current Win Probability
Sudbury Wolves 27%
Draw 21.5%
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 51.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.5%
20.4%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
21.6%
51%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudbury Wolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sudbury Wolves than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bronas B. (G)
32. George C. (G)
72. Bennett B.
71. Andrew C.
44. Berehowsky D.
28. Brown C.
93. Blonda L.
27. Charron J.
26. Chovan J.
22. Cloutier J.
19. Clayton B.
14. Croskery C.
9. Coughlan C. (A)
16. Evans S.
11. Dean E.
6. Fischer L.
24. Doucet H.
77. Fitzgerald C.
7. Ewles G.
13. Hayes T. (A)
84. Gonchar A.
89. Kaczynski R.
77. Henderson R. (A)
91. Laus N.
81. Kostuch C.
9. Martin J.
13. Martin H.
8. McConnell-Barker B.
71. Nemec A.
24. McKenzie Q.
4. O'Dell T.
26. Mignosa M. (A)
97. Provorov V.
23. Pangretitsch H.
57. Smith B.
12. Smith B.
88. Ula G.
21. Winkelhofer J.
16. Walker M.
Substitutes
29. Frasca P. (G)
36. Miller L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
10:15, 0 - 1, Cloutier J. (G), Martin J. (A), Fischer L. (A2)
13:43, 0 - 2, Andrew C. (G), Hayes T. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:58, 1 - 2, Chovan J. (G), Berehowsky D. (A), Gonchar A. (A2)
17:58, 2 - 2, Ula G. (G), Clayton B. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:08, 2 - 3, Andrew C. (G), Charron J. (A), Croskery C. (A2)
06:24, 2 - 4, Hayes T. (G),
09:59, 2 - 5, Fitzgerald C. (G), Fischer L. (A), Smith B. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
Sault Ste. Marie is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Sudbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Sault Ste. Marie will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sudbury won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 77:78. (average 3.9:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sudbury won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:34. (average 4.1:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Sudbury Wolves - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.48%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.