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Current Win Probability
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds 33.7%
Draw 20.5%
Guelph Storm 45.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.9%
20%
54.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.8%
22.3%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds's performance.
Guelph Storm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guelph Storm might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guelph Storm than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - Guelph Storm Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sault Ste. Marie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
36. Miller L. (G)
62. Hrebik B. (G)
20. Anderson C.
86. Avery J.
8. Ashcroft C.
17. Babin P.
15. Barbeau K.
15. Bartovic A.
28. Brown C.
8. Carscadden A.
14. Croskery C.
22. Czata E.
83. Daley T.
29. Dravecky V.
16. Evans S. (A)
3. Frossard E.
77. Fitzgerald C.
10. Griffin O. (A)
13. Hayes T. (C)
91. Hopkins T. (A)
91. Laus N.
14. Jenken N.
11. Long N.
28. Kucher C.
93. Martin J.
25. Roobroeck R. (A)
24. McKenzie Q. (A)
81. Shybinskyi I.
12. Smith B.
21. Spada G.
22. Szongoth D.
96. Stevens C.
3. Turner O.
12. Topp R. (C)
17. Weiss C.
16. Van Gelder B.
21. Winkelhofer J.
77. Wycisk J.
Substitutes
30. Camputaro W. (G)
30. Jovanovski Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
09:52, 1 - 0, Hayes T. (G), Laus N. (A), McKenzie Q. (A2)
13:31, 1 - 1, Shybinskyi I. (G), Czata E. (A), Hopkins T. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:49, 1 - 2, Stevens C. (G), Dravecky V. (A),
16:37, 2 - 2, Hayes T. (G), McKenzie Q. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:12, 2 - 3, Czata E. (G), Hopkins T. (A), Roobroeck R. (A2)
16:02, 2 - 4, Hopkins T. (G), Topp R. (A),
19:11, 3 - 4, Martin J. (G), McKenzie Q. (A), Fitzgerald C. (A2)
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - OHL Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sault Ste. Marie won 3.
In recent outings, Sault Ste. Marie has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guelph is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Guelph could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Guelph is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sault Ste. Marie has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:55 (averaging 3.1:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sault Ste. Marie against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 25:24 goals (averaging 2.5:2.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sault Ste. Marie Greyhounds - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.91%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Guelph Storm - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.1%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Miller L. (G) 
Anderson C. 
Bartovic A. 
Shybinskyi I. 
Szongoth D. 
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