Match Info

AHL

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: CAA Arena (Belleville, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Belleville Senators		Syracuse Crunch

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.33	1.73	Watch
	3.15	4.15	1.91
	3.28	4.4	1.87
	3.29	4.46	1.85	Watch
	3.2	4.2	1.83
	3.34	4.3	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.84)	4.31 ↑ (3.78)	1.83 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belleville Senators
28.3%

Draw
21.4%

Syracuse Crunch
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Syracuse Crunch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Syracuse will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Reidler K. (G)	31. Halverson B. (G)
16. Boucher T.	80. Abruzzese N.
13. Bourgault X.	14. Allard T.
92. Clarke G.	9. Czata E.
10. Daoust P.	25. Duke D. (A)
8. Duarte M.	20. Flinton C.
14. Harrington S. (A)	79. Gauthier E.
43. Kaliyev A.	94. Geekie C.
6. McCourt R.	23. Groshev M.
36. Mistelbacher L.	41. Kersten S.
17. Montgomery B.	11. Mercuri L.
25. O'Rourke R.	8. Miller T.
32. Pettersson O.	5. Mitchell I.
22. Pilon G. (C)	18. Newkirk R.
19. Rees J.	63. Peca M.
5. Stanley H.	75. Pietroniro M.
44. Toure D.	42. Samson E.
27. Washkurak K. (A)	95. Szturc G.
26. Yakemchuk C.	28. Tinordi J. (A)
Substitutes
1. Mbereko K. (G)	35. Meneghin H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:06, 1 - 0, Stanley H. (G), Clarke G. (A),
3rd Period (5 - 4)
02:05, 2 - 0, Montgomery B. (G), Clarke G. (A), Harrington S. (A2)
04:40, 3 - 0, Kaliyev A. (G), Yakemchuk C. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)
08:38, 3 - 1, Samson E. (G), Kersten S. (A), Szturc G. (A2)
09:03, 4 - 1, Bourgault X. (G),
12:46, 4 - 2, Szturc G. (G), Miller T. (A),
13:06, 4 - 3, Samson E. (G), Newkirk R. (A), Meneghin H. (A2)
14:11, 5 - 3, Bourgault X. (G), Yakemchuk C. (A), Clarke G. (A2)
17:03, 5 - 4, Szturc G. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Gauthier E. (A2)
18:40, 6 - 4, Washkurak K. (G),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Syracuse is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 2.

Belleville has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Syracuse is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Belleville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belleville has had a series of away games.

Recently, Syracuse has had a series of home games.

Syracuse might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:68. (average 3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 2.6:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Syracuse Crunch - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.01%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belleville Senators
AHL
15.04.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	5:2 ✺
10.04.26	Laval Rocket - Belleville Senators	6:7 OT ✺
04.04.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	4:0 ✺
03.04.26	Rochester Americans - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWLW
- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
12.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Toronto Marlies	1:4 ✺
11.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	3:0 ✺
08.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Syracuse Crunch	4:3 penalties ✺
03.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Providence Bruins	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

AHL
18.02.26	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	1:2
07.02.26	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	2:5
06.02.26	Syracuse Crunch - Belleville Senators	5:3
15.11.25	Syracuse Crunch - Belleville Senators	1:4
01.11.25	Syracuse Crunch - Belleville Senators	4:7
19.10.25	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	3:5
02.04.25	Belleville Senators - Syracuse Crunch	2:5

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