The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Syracuse Crunch 51.3%
Draw 21%
Hershey Bears 27.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
21.9%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
23%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Syracuse Crunch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Syracuse Crunch's performance.
Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Syracuse Crunch that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hershey Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Syracuse Crunch - Hershey Bears Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Halverson B. (G)
35. Gibson M. (G)
80. Abruzzese N.
7. Belpedio L. (A)
14. Allard T.
43. Bitten S.
21. Chaffee M. (A)
24. Bongiovanni W.
25. Duke D.
5. Chesley R.
20. Flinton C.
20. Cristall A.
79. Gauthier E.
19. Cruikshank G.
94. Geekie C.
48. Gucciardi D.
23. Groshev M.
49. Kupka K.
7. Lundmark S.
23. Leason B.
11. Mercuri L.
47. McDonald J.
8. Miller T.
15. Milano S.
5. Mitchell I.
34. Muggli L.
18. Newkirk R.
40. Protas I.
63. Peca M.
12. Rybinski H.
22. Pelletier J. (A)
6. Schueneman C. (A)
75. Pietroniro M.
45. Strome M. (A)
95. Szturc G.
41. Suzdalev A.
28. Tinordi J. (A)
44. Trineyev B.
Substitutes
59. Fanti R. (G)
1. Bjorklund G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
07:16, 0 - 1, Bongiovanni W. (G), Cristall A. (A),
09:33, 0 - 2, Cristall A. (G), Protas I. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
10:45, 0 - 3, Leason B. (G), Schueneman C. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
15:02, 1 - 3, Duke D. (G), Peca M. (A),
16:03, 2 - 3, Geekie C. (G), Pelletier J. (A), Miller T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
06:35, 2 - 4, Suzdalev A. (G), Kupka K. (A),
15:57, 3 - 4, Peca M. (G), Pietroniro M. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
Syracuse is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 4.
Syracuse has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Hershey is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Hershey may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Syracuse has had a series of home games.
Syracuse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
We predict that Syracuse will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:55. (average 3.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:26. (average 3.1:2.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Syracuse Crunch - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.72%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Hershey Bears - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.34%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.