Match Info

AHL - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Giant Center (Hershey, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Hershey Bears		Bridgeport Islanders

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.4	4	2.4
	2.46	4.15	2.37
	2.46	4.17	2.36	Watch
	2.38	4	2.38
	2.41	4	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.47)	4.05 ↓ (4.18)	2.38 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hershey Bears
38.6%

Draw
22.7%

Bridgeport Islanders
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

22.2%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

24.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Bridgeport Islanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bridgeport Islanders than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stevenson C. (G)	1. Hogberg M. (G)
7. Belpedio L. (A)	49. Bear E.
43. Bitten S.	34. Beckman A.
20. Cristall A.	47. Day S.
19. Cruikshank G.	7. Dube P.
48. Gucciardi D.	43. Eiserman C.
23. Leason B.	12. Eklund V.
52. Luypen J.	8. Foudy L.
47. McDonald J.	4. George I.
15. Milano S.	20. Highmore M. (A)
10. Miroshnichenko I.	16. Jefferies A.
27. Ness A. (C)	11. Kuefler D.
40. Protas I.	29. Luff M.
12. Rybinski H.	3. McWard C.
6. Schueneman C.	10. Mitchell T.
45. Strome M. (A)	21. Ritchie C.
41. Suzdalev A.	24. Rowe L.
44. Trineyev B.	15. Thiesing C.
4. Webb R.	6. Warren M.
Substitutes
35. Gibson M. (G)	33. Kotai J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:10, 1 - 0, Cristall A. (G), Protas I. (A), McDonald J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
01:07, 1 - 1, Luff M. (G), Dube P. (A), Warren M. (A2)
10:55, 2 - 1, Bitten S. (G), Cruikshank G. (A), Strome M. (A2)
12:44, 3 - 1, Cristall A. (G), Trineyev B. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
09:57, 3 - 2, Ritchie C. (G), Luff M. (A), Beckman A. (A2)
17:57, 4 - 2, Milano S. (G),
18:26, 5 - 2, Trineyev B. (G),

Preview

Hershey Bears leads series 1-0. Second leg.

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 61:53. (average 3.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:28. (average 3.4:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Hershey Bears - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.59%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.

Bridgeport Islanders - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hershey Bears
AHL
21.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans	5:4 OT ✺
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Hershey Bears	1:5 ✺
12.04.26	Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLWL
- Bridgeport Islanders
AHL
21.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1 ✺
15.04.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Bridgeport Islanders	2:5 ✺
12.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hartford Wolf Pack	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
21.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	0:2
18.04.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	1:2
01.04.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:1
22.03.26	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	3:6
21.03.26	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	4:3 penalties
20.12.25	Hershey Bears - Bridgeport Islanders	4:1
29.10.25	Bridgeport Islanders - Hershey Bears	1:3

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