Match Info

AHL

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Upstate Medical University Arena (Syracuse, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Syracuse Crunch		Utica Comets

	1	X	2
	1.95	4	2.9	Watch
	2.02	4	3
	1.99	4.2	3.03
	1.97	4.27	3.05	Watch
	1.91	4	3
	1.97	4.05	2.99	Watch
	1.88	3.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.86)	4.06 ↑ (3.9)	3.04 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Syracuse Crunch
47.1%

Draw
22.7%

Utica Comets
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

23.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

25.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Syracuse Crunch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Syracuse Crunch than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Syracuse Crunch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Halverson B. (G)	31. Malek J. (G)
80. Abruzzese N.	2. Addison C.
14. Allard T.	48. Bertuzzi T.
21. Chaffee M. (A)	15. Criscuolo K. (A)
25. Duke D.	58. Diotte M.
84. Grondin M.	73. Edwards E.
23. Groshev M.	19. Filmon J.
41. Kersten S.	14. Gruden J.
11. Mercuri L.	39. Hardman M.
8. Miller T.	18. Lachance S.
5. Mitchell I.	11. Legare N.
18. Newkirk R.	21. Melovsky M.
63. Peca M.	67. Parent X.
22. Pelletier J. (A)	26. Schmelzer R. (C)
75. Pietroniro M.	12. Squires C.
42. Samson E.	7. Strand A.
44. Steen N.	55. van d. L. J.
95. Szturc G.	37. Wendt D.
28. Tinordi J. (A)	6. White C. (A)
Substitutes
35. Meneghin H. (G)	33. Welsch H. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
04:53, 0 - 1, Parent X. (G), van d. L. J. (A), Criscuolo K. (A2)
15:06, 1 - 1, Abruzzese N. (G), Chaffee M. (A), Peca M. (A2)
17:19, 2 - 1, Mercuri L. (G), Chaffee M. (A), Pelletier J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:45, 3 - 1, Mercuri L. (G), Newkirk R. (A), Kersten S. (A2)
17:44, 4 - 1, Szturc G. (G), Duke D. (A), Kersten S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
09:31, 5 - 1, Steen N. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Samson E. (A2)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6).

Syracuse is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 3.

Syracuse has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Syracuse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Syracuse could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Syracuse won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:47. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Syracuse won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 3.1:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 3.27 are the expected chance of winning is 27.8%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Syracuse Crunch
AHL
08.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Springfield Thunderbirds - Syracuse Crunch	4:3 penalties ✺
03.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Providence Bruins	2:4 ✺
29.03.26	Rochester Americans - Syracuse Crunch	3:2 penalties ✺
28.03.26	Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Utica Comets
AHL
10.04.26	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	6:3 ✺
08.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	4:3 OT ✺
04.04.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	4:0 ✺
01.04.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	2:3 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Utica Comets	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
08.03.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	1:4
25.01.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	5:1
24.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	6:3
16.01.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	5:2
09.01.26	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	3:0
10.12.25	Utica Comets - Syracuse Crunch	3:2
29.11.25	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	5:3

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