Match Info

AHL

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Coca-Cola Coliseum (Toronto, ON) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	17:45	Veikkaus TV
Usa	10:45	Flohockey


	Toronto Marlies		Utica Comets

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.45	Watch
	2.37	4	2.45
	2.41	4.15	2.43
	2.38	4.22	2.43	Watch
	2.25	4	2.45
	2.35	3.96	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.15)	4.06 ↓ (4.2)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto Marlies
39.5%

Draw
22.7%

Utica Comets
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

21.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

22%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Utica Comets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Hildeby D. (G)	50. Daws N. (G)
68. Barbolini M.	2. Addison C.
33. Benning M. (A)	15. Criscuolo K.
58. Chadwick N.	9. Crookshank A. (A)
43. Haymes L.	58. Diotte M.
55. Hundley H.	73. Edwards E.
65. Johnson R.	19. Filmon J.
57. Johnstone M. (A)	14. Gruden J.
66. King Ben	39. Hardman M.
71. Lettieri V.	18. Lachance S.
92. Nylander A.	11. Legare N.
56. Pare C.	21. Melovsky M.
11. Shaw L. (C)	67. Parent X.
42. Sim L.	26. Schmelzer R. (C)
59. Smith B.	12. Squires C.
3. Thrun H.	7. Strand A.
77. Tverberg R.	55. van d. L. J.
39. Valis B.	37. Wendt D.
76. Villeneuve W.	6. White C. (A)
Substitutes
70. Akhtyamov A. (G)	31. Malek J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:15, 1 - 0, Barbolini M. (G), Chadwick N. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
06:43, 2 - 0, Sim L. (G), Johnson R. (A), Villeneuve W. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:43, 2 - 1, Legare N. (G), Schmelzer R. (A), Lachance S. (A2)
02:32, 3 - 1, Valis B. (G), Benning M. (A), Chadwick N. (A2)
05:02, 3 - 2, Crookshank A. (G), Squires C. (A), Addison C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:37, 3 - 3, Crookshank A. (G), Criscuolo K. (A), White C. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
00:25, 4 - 3, Tverberg R. (G),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.

Toronto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Utica is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Utica will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 73:59. (average 3.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:30. (average 3.4:2.7).

Outrights of AHL for now

Toronto Marlies: 5.48% Utica Comets: 3.1%

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto Marlies - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 41.85%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Utica Comets - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.73%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto Marlies
AHL
04.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	1:5 ✺
03.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Charlotte Checkers	2:3 ✺
31.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	1:5 ✺
27.03.26	Rochester Americans - Toronto Marlies	5:2 ✺
25.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Utica Comets
AHL
04.04.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	4:0 ✺
01.04.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	2:3 penalties ✺
29.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Utica Comets	1:4 ✺
28.03.26	Cleveland Monsters - Utica Comets	3:5 ✺
25.03.26	Laval Rocket - Utica Comets	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
27.12.25	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	3:4 penalties
19.10.25	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	3:2
16.04.25	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	2:6
02.04.25	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	1:2 OT
11.01.25	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	4:1
20.10.24	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	4:0
07.04.24	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	1:5

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