Match Info

AHL

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Adirondack Bank Center (Utica, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Utica Comets		Providence Bruins

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.2	1.75	Watch
	3.25	4.1	1.89
	3.45	4.3	1.84
	3.46	4.31	1.80	Watch
	3.25	4.2	1.8
	3.44	4.2	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.99)	4.22 ↑ (3.78)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Utica Comets
27.4%

Draw
21.8%

Providence Bruins
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

23.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

25.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Utica Comets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utica Comets than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utica Comets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Providence Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Utica Comets - Providence Bruins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Daws N. (G)	34. Zajicek S. (G)
2. Addison C.	47. Abate J. (A)
15. Criscuolo K.	93. Andreev M.
9. Crookshank A. (A)	18. Blumel M.
58. Diotte M.	42. Brunet F.
73. Edwards E.	11. Duran R.
14. Gruden J.	9. Felix C.
24. Halonen B.	24. Gallagher T.
29. Hameenaho L.	72. Gendron A.
39. Hardman M.	46. Hudson J.
18. Lachance S.	15. Johansson L.
11. Legare N.	22. Lysell F.
28. McLaughlin M.	10. Merkulov G. (A)
21. Melovsky M.	17. Mutter N.
67. Parent X.	21. Poitras M.
26. Schmelzer R. (C)	8. Schmaltz J.
7. Strand A.	6. Sweezey B. (A)
38. Vilen T.	14. Tattle R.
6. White C. (A)	13. Wanner M.
Substitutes
31. Malek J. (G)	30. Lundgren M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:48, 1 - 0, Criscuolo K. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Addison C. (A2)
11:10, 2 - 0, Melovsky M. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), Vilen T. (A2)
18:26, 2 - 1, Blumel M. (G), Merkulov G. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
13:46, 3 - 1, Halonen B. (G), Parent X. (A), Melovsky M. (A2)
18:30, 4 - 1, Crookshank A. (G), Hameenaho L. (A), White C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

Providence is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Utica won 1.

Utica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Providence is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Providence may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Providence could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Utica won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 50:73. (average 2.5:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Utica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:42. (average 2.9:4.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Utica Comets - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.18%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Providence Bruins - the odds 1.97 are the expected chance of winning is 45.92%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Utica Comets
AHL
15.04.26	Belleville Senators - Utica Comets	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Utica Comets	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Utica Comets - Toronto Marlies	6:3 ✺
08.04.26	Toronto Marlies - Utica Comets	4:3 OT ✺
04.04.26	Utica Comets - Belleville Senators	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW
- Providence Bruins
AHL
12.04.26	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Providence Bruins - Rochester Americans	6:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hartford Wolf Pack - Providence Bruins	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Rochester Americans - Providence Bruins	2:1 OT ✺
03.04.26	Syracuse Crunch - Providence Bruins	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
01.04.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	2:3 penalties
21.03.26	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	5:2
20.03.26	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	3:4
15.11.25	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	3:2 OT
05.04.25	Utica Comets - Providence Bruins	6:4
21.02.25	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	4:2
14.02.25	Providence Bruins - Utica Comets	5:1

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