The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves U20 40.8%
Draw 21.3%
Lukko U20 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
20.9%
34.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.8%
22.6%
37.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Ilves U20 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Ilves U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
19:24, 1 - 0, Nyberg J. (G), Poikela M. (A), Kuukasjarvi R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
09:37, 1 - 1, Loytokorpi M. (G), Sahlstedt D. (A), Lisovskis R. (A2)
10:44, 1 - 2, Vatjus M. (G), Vechet P. (A), Mensonen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
17:10, 1 - 3, Mensonen J. (G), Suominen J. (A), Vechet P. (A2)
19:39, 1 - 4, Vaaranen V. (G), Tukiainen J. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves U20 won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Lukko U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves U20 has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:75 (averaging 2.5:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 28:35 goals (averaging 3.1:3.9 per game).
Watch
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