The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TWK Innsbruck 39.7%
Draw 23%
Asiago 37.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.6%
22.9%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
20.8%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Asiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TWK Innsbruck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
TWK Innsbruck - Asiago Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
37. Fazio J. (G)
13. Steffler D.
24. Gazzola R.
21. McFadden G.
23. Marchetti S.
97. Bracco J.
13. Saracino N.
72. Grasso P.
21. Gennaro M.
92. Rassell M.
14. Ierullo A.
Line 2
77. Welsh N.
55. Fram J.
98. Lattner J.
57. Cairns M.
71. Hirano Y.
18. Moutrey N.
9. Valentini R.
26. Kaspick T.
89. Bar L.
71. Porco N.
Line 3
4. Stoffler E.
40. Zampieri S.
11. Jakubitzka D.
89. Rigoni F.
55. Zusevics Z.
98. Turnbull C.
81. Mackin C.
9. Misley B.
23. Dobnig J.
28. Moncada L.
Line 4
28. Wille S.
95. Magnabosco M.
74. Klassek S.
19. Rigoni F.
44. Mader T.
12. Miceli A.
22. Ploner V.
Substitutes
35. Brandner J. (G)
32. Santangelo R. (G)
16. Stevan M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 2)
02:40, 1 - 0, Rassell M. (G),
06:58, 1 - 1, Gennaro M. (G), Saracino N. (A),
07:46, 1 - 2, Saracino N. (G), Gennaro M. (A),
11:11, 2 - 2, Valentini R. (G), Bar L. (A), Welsh N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:04, 3 - 2, Grasso P. (G), Rassell M. (A),
09:36, 3 - 3, Saracino N. (G), Gennaro M. (A), Ierullo A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:33, 4 - 3, Grasso P. (G), Rassell M. (A), Bracco J. (A2)
03:25, 5 - 3, Mader T. (G), Welsh N. (A), Lattner J. (A2)
15:31, 5 - 4, Gennaro M. (G), Ierullo A. (A),
19:58, 5 - 5, Ierullo A. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:06, 6 - 5, Hirano Y. (G), McFadden G. (A), Mackin C. (A2)
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 12 and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Innsbruck won 4.
Innsbruck is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Asiago has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Asiago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Innsbruck won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 43:34 (average 3.9:3.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Innsbruck won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22:11 (average 3.7:1.8).
Watch
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Buitenhuis E. (G) 
Fazio J. (G) 
Steffler D. 
Bracco J. 
Fram J. 
Lattner J. 
Hirano Y. 
Zusevics Z. 
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