Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 48

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Vienna Capitals

	1	X	2
	3.8	5	1.59
	4.05	4.65	1.62	Watch
	3.75	4.51	1.71
	3.95	4.66	1.66	Watch
	4.2	4.6	1.55
	3.86	4.6	1.67	Watch
	4.05	4.65	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	4.67 ↑ (4.33)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
23.4%

Draw
19.8%

Vienna Capitals
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

20.9%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

21.1%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Asiago - Vienna Capitals Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Asiago will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Vienna Capitals will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
37. Fazio J. (G)	30. Wraneschitz S. (G)
89. Rigoni F.	44. Raskob W.
57. Cairns M.	50. Fischer M.
9. Misley B.	61. Franklin Z.
26. Kaspick T.	9. Wallner L.
12. Miceli A.	92. Cramarossa J.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	55. Dougherty J.
11. Vallati G.	33. Donohue S.
13. Saracino N.	25. Gregoire J.
21. Gennaro M.	20. Krieger P.
14. Ierullo A.	26. Jasper E.
Line 3
23. Marchetti S.	71. Kirchschlager E.
17. Casetti L.	91. Heinrich D.
95. Magnabosco M.	96. Hartl N.
19. Rigoni F.	19. Predan A.
71. Porco N.	8. Bohm M.
Line 4
56. Benetti S.	10. Antal P.
54. Marcazzan G.	40. Posch B.
40. Zampieri S.	3. Preiser A.
16. Stevan M.	37. Kromp C.
53. Miglioranzi A.	34. Koschek F.
Substitutes
33. Costantini M. (G)	42. Jones P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:23, 1 - 0, Misley B. (G), Cairns M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:30, 2 - 0, Gennaro M. (G), Rigoni F. (A), Cairns M. (A2)
18:28, 3 - 0, Saracino N. (G), Gennaro M. (A), Ierullo A. (A2)

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Vienna Capitals could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Asiago have a series of home games.

In this match Vienna Capitals is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Asiago won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:33 (average 2.6:3).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:11 (average 1.6:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Asiago - the odds 3.5 are the expected chance of winning is 25.86%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
29.01.25	Asiago - Black Wings Linz	3:7 ✺
24.01.25	Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2 OT ✺
19.01.25	Graz 99ers - Asiago	8:3 ✺
17.01.25	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:1 ✺
12.01.25	Asiago - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWL
- Vienna Capitals
Austrian Ice Hockey League
31.01.25	Bolzano - Vienna Capitals	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	4:3 OT ✺
26.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Red Bull Salzburg	5:3 ✺
24.01.25	Villacher - Vienna Capitals	6:3 ✺
18.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Pioneers Vorarlberg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
10.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	4:2
06.12.24	Asiago - Vienna Capitals	2:3
11.10.24	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	2:1
26.01.24	Asiago - Vienna Capitals	1:2 OT
09.12.23	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	3:4 OT
17.11.23	Vienna Capitals - Asiago	4:5 OT
06.10.23	Asiago - Vienna Capitals	1:0

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