Match Info

VHL

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Neftekamsk)


	Toros Neftekamsk		Zauralie Kurgan

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.78	2.58	Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.25)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	2.52 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toros Neftekamsk
39.2%

Draw
24.4%

Zauralie Kurgan
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

25.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Toros Neftekamsk aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toros (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
49. Braginsky D. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)
85. Budnitsky V. (A)	43. Ugolnikov A. (C)
3. Shatilo I.	61. Kozhemyakin G.
56. Suvorov A.	51. Shipin D.
22. Sorokin Y. (A)	93. Kozlov I. (A)
79. Nabiev A.	7. Baldayev D.
Line 2
76. Pykhtin D.	77. Belyakov F.
4. Chebotaryov V. (C)	67. Vasilyev K.
44. Khvorov N.	11. Ryzhov K.
37. Zagrebin M.	78. Komaristy A. (A)
24. Andreichenko V.	74. Govorkov M.
Line 3
9. Orlov G.	3. Shikun A.
33. Agafonov M.	48. Denisevich B.
17. Sychyov V.	99. Kolesnikov S.
81. Volokitin P.	12. Kovyazin I.
59. Korbit P.	87. Nizovtsev S.
Line 4
52. Kolganov A.	53. Chegoshev V.
36. Gunkin Y.	97. Bogdanov A.
80. Galiyev E.	37. Afridanov I.
25. Valeyev T.	24. Smirnov N.
28. Akhsyanov B.
Substitutes
1. Yelin I. (G)	30. Yeryomin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
04:22, 1 - 0, Suvorov A. (G), Nabiev A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
08:43, 2 - 0, Khvorov N. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
04:11, 2 - 1, Kozlov I. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 3.

Toros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Zauralie has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toros won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:46. (average 2.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 2.7:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Toros Neftekamsk - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.5%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Zauralie Kurgan - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.32%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toros Neftekamsk
VHL
26.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Rubin Tyumen	2:0 ✺
24.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Omskie Krylia	1:3 ✺
19.12.25	Zvezda Moscow - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
17.12.25	Khimik - Toros Neftekamsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
26.12.25	Izhstal - Zauralie Kurgan	2:1 ✺
24.12.25	Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:3 ✺
22.12.25	Molot Perm - Zauralie Kurgan	4:3 ✺
17.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	6:1 ✺
15.12.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Ryazan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
21.11.25	Zauralie Kurgan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:3
06.03.25	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:3
16.09.24	Zauralie Kurgan - Toros Neftekamsk	1:2 penalties
18.02.24	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	2:3
14.09.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Toros Neftekamsk	2:4
11.02.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Toros Neftekamsk	9:4
10.09.22	Toros Neftekamsk - Zauralie Kurgan	0:1

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