Match Info

VHL

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: VHL 🌤️ ...


	Yuzhny Ural Orsk		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.35	2.11
	2.65	3.25	2.06
	2.94	3.95	2.10	Watch
	2.85	3.75	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.02)	3.58 ↓ (3.82)	2.1 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yuzhny Ural Orsk
32.1%

Draw
25.1%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31%

24.5%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

26.3%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yuzhny Ural Orsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg N (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Nikitin V. (G)	1. Lozebnikov D. (G)
18. Alexeyev D.	12. Kryukov T.
15. Puchkov Y.	89. Teryayev S. (C)
55. Grebenshchikov S.	38. Demidov S.
19. Suslov K. (A)	81. Spiridonov Y.
9. Ugolnikov I.	41. Aliyev R.
Line 2
29. Papst R.	9. Belov D.
52. Vasin I.	67. Afanasyev M. (A)
74. Lapshin I.	16. Manukyan A.
76. Boychuk D. (A)	17. Podkorytov A.
7. Gimatov E. (C)	21. Filatyev A.
Line 3
96. Lineitsev D.	47. Medvedev P.
93. Zhurakov D.	4. Churkin V.
82. Nizovkin M.	10. Sheshin D. (A)
13. Bryntsev M.	15. Utkin D.
10. Shindyaev K.	97. Galimov E.
Line 4
77. Salikov G.	59. Perevalov A.
80. Nikolenko L.	86. Doroshenko M.
79. Timashev I.	29. Vasilkov A.
71. Beizak S.	71. Grzheletsky M.
	87. Gerasimov S.
Substitutes
91. Pastukh V. (G)	20. Vinogradov Z. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
17:16, 0 - 1, Medvedev P. (G), Demidov S. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:28, 1 - 1, Lapshin I. (G), Boychuk D. (A), Puchkov Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
12:38, 2 - 1, Ugolnikov I. (G), Grebenshchikov S. (A), Boychuk D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.

Yuzhny Ural has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Metallurg N is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Metallurg N could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Metallurg N has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Yuzhny Ural has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:59 (averaging 1.7:3.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yuzhny Ural against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 19:33 goals (averaging 1.9:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Orsk	15	7	3	3	2	41:28	23
12	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	17	7	2	3	5	31:22	21

Last Results with these Odds

Yuzhny Ural Orsk - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 31.04%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yuzhny Ural Orsk
VHL
21.10.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	1:3 ✺
19.10.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk	3:2 ✺
12.10.26	Kaluga - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2 penalties ✺
10.10.26	AKM - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:0 ✺
08.10.26	Ryazan - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	2:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLW
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
17.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm	0:2 ✺
15.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 penalties ✺
13.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal	3:2 penalties ✺
11.10.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
02.02.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	0:1 penalties
16.10.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:5
16.03.25	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4
10.09.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	4:1
26.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	1:2
26.09.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:5 penalties
24.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3

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