Match Info

NHL

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Benchmark International Arena (Tampa, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Germany	NHL.tv
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Disney+, Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Tampa Bay Lightning		Anaheim Ducks

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.5	3.6	Watch
	1.85	4.48	3.45
	2.05	4.13	3.05	Watch
	1.88	4.77	3.47
	1.81	4.4	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.05)	4.46 ↑ (4.13)	3.41 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tampa Bay Lightning
50.7%

Draw
21.4%

Anaheim Ducks
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

22.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

23.8%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Anaheim Ducks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anaheim Ducks than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	18.7%	37.5%

Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Anaheim will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 15.2% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anaheim Ducks will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Johansson J. (G)	1. Dostal L. (G)
90. Moser J.J.	14. Helleson D.
77. Hedman V. (C)	2. LaCombe J. (A)
93. Goncalves G.	17. Killorn A. (A)
21. Point B.	91. Carlsson L. (A)
59. Guentzel J.	61. Gauthier C.
Line 2
81. Cernak E.	65. Trouba J.
27. McDonagh R. (A)	51. Zellweger O.
86. Kucherov N. (A)	45. Sennecke B.
71. Cirelli A.	23. McTavish M.
38. Hagel B.	77. Vatrano F.
Line 3
51. D'Astous C.	74. Moore I.
78. Lilleberg E.	98. Mintyukov P.
29. Holmberg P.	19. Terry T.
37. Gourde Y.	64. Granlund Mik.
22. Bjorkstrand O.	13. Nesterenko N.
Line 4
28. Girgensons Z.	12. Colangelo S.
17. James D.	25. Poehling R.
42. Douglas C.	44. Johnston R.
Substitutes
88. Vasilevski A. (G)	34. Mrazek P. (G)
Coaches
. Cooper J.	. Quenneville J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:13, Cernak E. (2 min),
04:13, Carlsson L. (2 min),
09:10, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Hagel B. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
09:45, Holmberg P. (2 min),
11:19, McTavish M. (2 min),
15:58, Johnston R. (5 min),
15:58, Johnston R. (2 min),
15:58, Lilleberg E. (5 min),
15:58, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 1)
04:42, 1 - 1, Trouba J. (G), Terry T. (A), McTavish M. (A2)
12:19, 2 - 1, Guentzel J. (G), Point B. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
14:20, 3 - 1, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Hedman V. (A2)
17:18, Colangelo S. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:16, Zellweger O. (2 min),
04:47, Gauthier C. (2 min),
07:11, 3 - 2, Poehling R. (G), Johnston R. (A),
08:10, 3 - 3, Terry T. (G),
15:44, Johnston R. (2 min),
16:45, 4 - 3, Cirelli A. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Hedman V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 4.

Tampa Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Anaheim has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anaheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.

Tampa Bay might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Injury) Paul N. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in Anaheim: Harkins J. (Upper-Body Injury) Strome R. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Girgensons Z. (Upper-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Anaheim: Gudas R. (Lower-Body Injury) Kreider C. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 64:44. (average 3.2:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 4:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 46.11%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Anaheim Ducks - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
23.10.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Chicago Blackhawks	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Columbus Blue Jackets - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1 OT ✺
14.10.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:2 OT ✺
13.10.25	Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Anaheim Ducks
NHL
23.10.25	Boston Bruins - Anaheim Ducks	5:7 ✺
21.10.25	Nashville Predators - Anaheim Ducks	2:5 ✺
19.10.25	Chicago Blackhawks - Anaheim Ducks	2:1 OT ✺
16.10.25	Anaheim Ducks - Carolina Hurricanes	1:4 ✺
14.10.25	Anaheim Ducks - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
16.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	4:3 penalties
05.01.25	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	4:1
24.03.24	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:3 OT
13.01.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	5:1
21.02.23	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	6:1
26.10.22	Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:4
14.04.22	Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks	4:3 OT

Tampa Bay Lightning - Anaheim Ducks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide