Match Info

NHL

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Little Caesars Arena (Detroit, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Detroit Red Wings		Tampa Bay Lightning

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.2	2.2	Watch
	2.67	4.28	2.25
	2.67	4.5	2.29
	2.63	4.21	2.27	Watch
	2.56	4.51	2.3
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.63)	4.28 ↑ (4.21)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit Red Wings
36%

Draw
22.2%

Tampa Bay Lightning
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

22.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

22.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	25%	62.5%

Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Gibson J. (G)	88. Vasilevski A. (G)
53. Seider M. (A)	43. Raddysh D.
77. Edvinsson S.	90. Moser J.J.
23. Raymond L. (A)	86. Kucherov N. (A)
71. Larkin D. (C)	71. Cirelli A.
58. Finnie E.	38. Hagel B. (A)
Line 2
44. Sandin-Pellikka A.	78. Lilleberg E.
8. Chiarot B.	51. D'Astous C.
21. Van Riemsdyk J.	93. Goncalves G.
92. Kasper M.	20. Paul N.
93. DeBrincat A.	59. Guentzel J. (A)
Line 3
25. Bernard-Docker J.	16. Santini S.
20. Johansson A.	67. Carlile D.
88. Kane P.	29. Holmberg P.
29. Danielson N.	37. Gourde Y.
18. Copp A.	28. Girgensons Z.
Line 4
22. Appleton M.	22. Bjorkstrand O.
37. Compher J.T.	17. James D.
27. Rasmussen M.	42. Douglas C.
Substitutes
39. Talbot C. (G)	31. Johansson J. (G)
Coaches
. McLellan T.	. Cooper J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:29, 1 - 0, Compher J.T. (G), Rasmussen M. (A),
16:31, DeBrincat A. (2 min),
17:07, 1 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
00:34, 1 - 2, Goncalves G. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Paul N. (A2)
03:01, 1 - 3, Gourde Y. (G),
03:13, 2 - 3, Rasmussen M. (G), Compher J.T. (A),
16:09, 2 - 4, Gourde Y. (G),
18:26, 3 - 4, Larkin D. (G), Raymond L. (A), Edvinsson S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:13, Hagel B. (2 min),
11:32, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
11:32, Gourde Y. (2 min),
12:37, 3 - 5, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
17:13, 3 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 3.

Recent performances by Detroit have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Detroit: Edvinsson S. (Illness) Rasmussen M. (Injury)

There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Crozier M. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Point B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 2.8:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.63%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit Red Wings
NHL
26.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - Nashville Predators	3:6 ✺
24.11.25	New Jersey Devils - Detroit Red Wings	4:3 ✺
22.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:3 OT ✺
20.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - New York Islanders	0:5 ✺
18.11.25	Detroit Red Wings - Seattle Kraken	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWLW
- Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL
26.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Calgary Flames	5:1 ✺
24.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Philadelphia Flyers	3:0 ✺
22.11.25	Washington Capitals - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:5 ✺
20.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Edmonton Oilers	2:1 OT ✺
18.11.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - New Jersey Devils	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
17.10.25	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1 OT
11.04.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings	3:4 OT
08.02.25	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	3:6
25.01.25	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:0
18.01.25	Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings	5:1
01.04.24	Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings	2:4
21.01.24	Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning	2:1

Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide